Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 12, 2020

December 12, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Majestic Mountain 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Capital Heat 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Envy 1.80 3.2 6-1
4 4 My Tigress 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Shez Our Arch 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Trophy Chest 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Betty’s Bambina 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 C Falls 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Direct Line 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 My Indy 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Fire Polish 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Juror 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Cool Your Jets 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Luvluv 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Wicks and Chappies 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Sweet Sonny 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Cocoa Cents 8.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Star Kissed 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Little Rachel 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 1 Bruja Escarlata 8.00 4 8-1
3 2 Naansense 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Bottle Neck 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Meso 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Take a Leap 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Perfect Ice Storm 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Invincibella (GB) 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Madame Barbarian 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lucky Ms Jones 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Splashing 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Brickyard Ride 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Manhattan Up 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ultimate Bango 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Anyportinastorm 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Mr Vargas 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Sparky Ville 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Fast Cotton 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Ghoul (BRZ) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flying Business 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Friend of Autism 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Zelaia 10.00 6.1 11-1
10 8 Kissable U 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 7 Sherilinda 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Surely a Smile 20.00 8 15-1
4 3 Justa Poppin 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 6 Smokin Hot Bobbie 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Raelee 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sadie Bluegrass 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Paid Informant 3.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Matera 6.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Lavender (IRE) 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Tiz Wonderfully 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Clockstrikestwelve 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Golden Iris (GB) 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Miss Megan 8.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Lucky Peridot 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Princess Mo 12.00 8 15-1
6 6 Novella 10.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Soviet Problem S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Westward Breeze 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Sensible Cat 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Dylans Wild Cat 3.50 3.1 6-1
10 10 I’m So Anna 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Governor Goteven 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Super Game 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Miss Glorious 20.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Mucha Woman 20.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Will Take a Kiss 20.00 9 17-1
11 11 Eddie’s New Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Love Wins 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Little No Way 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Blame It On Kitty 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Bitter Ring Home 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Will Dancer 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Six Point Rack 8.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Playing Through 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Maxinamillion 4.00 6 11-1
7 7 Punaluu 20.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Mr. Esken 30.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Devil’s Teeth 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kylemore 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rate for Me 30.00 10.5 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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