Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 12, 2020

December 12, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Iconic 3.50 4.1 8-1
10 10 January Won 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 So Long Chuck 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Smash 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Monmouth Dr 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Frank First 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Three Deep 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Ice Tea 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Swing West 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Doctor D J 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Meade 20.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Powerful Ally 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hard West 30.00 12.9 24-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Semper Fidelis 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Prime Factor 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Bracken 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Broadway 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Julius the Great 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Dr. Duke 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Readthetranscript 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Compass Cay 30.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Shooting 30.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Con Lima 1.80 3.5 7-1
2 1 Runaway Rockette 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Gambling Cat 2.50 4.5 9-1
3 2 Happy Constitution 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Tete a Tete 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 7 Funwhileitlasted 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 5 Mashugana 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Gladys 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Viking Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Adios Trippi 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Rampart S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bajan Girl 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Letruska 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sally’s Curlin 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Dream Marie 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Good Credence 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Crumb Bun 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Daddy’s Joy 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Ghostly Beauty 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Fierce Scarlett 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 What a Beaut 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Passion Plus 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Yolanda’s Pride 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Our Little Jewel 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Napa Rules 10.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Lookinlikeaqueen 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Sugar Swirl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cinnabunny 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Lady’s Island 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Golden Ami 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Aunt Nadine 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Sound Machine 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bronx Beauty 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Donegal Bay 3.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Midlaner 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Will Take Control 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 American Law 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Alexander Valley 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Sigrun Fast Boy 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Simovitch 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Flamingo Hawk 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Toscanito 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – My Charmer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lady Lawyer 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Art of Almost 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Our Bay B Ruth 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tuned (GB) 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Niko’s Dream 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Great Sister Diane 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Piedi Bianchi 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Madita (GER) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Harlan’s Holiday S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Phat Man 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Tax 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Math Wizard 4.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Tatweej 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Eye of a Jedi 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Identifier 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Royal Urn 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Ft. Lauderdale S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Factor This 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Somelikeithotbrown 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Delaware (GB) 5.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Halladay 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Breaking the Rules 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Tide of the Sea 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Spooky Channel 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Channel Cat 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Doswell 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Largent 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Millean 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Lease 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 6 Demon 5.00 2.4 5-1
12 11 Mira Mission 6.00 2.8 5-1
11 10 Daisy’s Doc 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 8 World Cruiser 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Dassult Mirage 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Exponential 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Gandolfo 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Figo 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 The Best Distance 30.00 10 19-1
5 5 Big City Red 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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