Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 12, 2020

December 12, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tizme Bobby McGee 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Paint Music for Me 1.40 2.5 5-1
9 9 Open Lengths 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Uncle Ned 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Height 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Theitalianamerican 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lorenzen 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Vriodini 30.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Across the Channel 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Scuttlebuzz 2.50 4 8-1
7 6 Tercero 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Frat 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Freudian Analyst 10.00 5.5 10-1
11 8 Bricco 5.00 6 11-1
1 1 Here Comes Meg 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Perfect Banker 20.00 7.1 13-1
12 9 Obsession’s Empire 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Starship Empire 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Jet for Andy 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Alite 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Step to the Bank 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Black Irish 1.60 SCRATCH
16 16 Have a Heart 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Microgolden 50.00 10.6 20-1
14 10 Hay Lad 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 South Africa 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Call Me Harry 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Bronx Bomber 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Wow Brown 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Runningwscissors 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Scilly Cay 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Steam Engine 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Power Up Paynter 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mirabell Mei 3.50 3.1 6-1
10A 9 Alley to Calvary 6.00 3.4 7-1
7 6 Lido Key 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Kemba 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 5 R V Treasure 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Giggle Factory 8.00 5 9-1
3 2 Marquet Legacy 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 11 Minit Maus 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Tradeable 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 3 Appreciate 30.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Alexacrat 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tripp Road 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Candy Flower 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 First Dawn 8.00 SCRATCH
16A 16 Tuff Bird 6.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Syzygy 50.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bowing Snowman 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 What’s My Category 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Reunion Tour 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Polpis 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Boo Who 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Out of Tune 10.00 4.9 9-1
2A 2 Oliver’s Fortune 12.00 6.8 13-1
5A 5 Writer’s Regret 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Giramonte 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Scotto 15.00 8 15-1
11 11 Stone Crazed 20.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Pier Forty 2.50 2.9 6-1
7 6 Tri Saint Lorenzo 10.00 3 6-1
8 7 Elusive Ruler 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Wild Banker 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Double Shot 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Beta 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Generalonamission 20.00 5.7 11-1
12 9 Liam’s Fire 30.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Dublin Green 50.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Grandgran 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Beachside 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Quintarelli 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Will Sing for Wine 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dudley Square 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Family Biz 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Blindwillie McTell 8.00 5 9-1
10 10 Vintage Hollywood 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Our Last Buck 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Striking Speed 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Heirloom Kitten 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Twelth Man 10.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Villainous 15.00 7 13-1
11 11 Singapore Trader 20.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 American Rule 30.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Aasr 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Alex M. Robb S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr. Buff 1.40 2 4-1
1 1 Sea Foam 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bankit 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 City Man 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Danny California 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Yankee Division 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unbridled John 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Z’finale 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bielefeld 4.00 4 8-1
9 8 Brickyard 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Prince Halo 8.00 4.6 9-1
16 14 Ringgood 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Yousaidhello 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 11 Storm Alfeet 15.00 7 13-1
13 12 Justintimeforwine 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 5 Apex Predator 20.00 8.9 17-1
14 13 Daithi 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Broadway Joe 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Simbasalltrouble 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 True Palace 20.00 10.6 20-1
11 10 Liquor 20.00 10.6 20-1
10 9 Oliver Witha Twist 30.00 13.7 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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