December 12, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Tizme Bobby McGee | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Paint Music for Me | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Open Lengths | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Uncle Ned | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Height | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Theitalianamerican | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Lorenzen | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Vriodini | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
3 | 3 | Across the Channel | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 7 | Scuttlebuzz | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Tercero | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Frat | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Freudian Analyst | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
11 | 8 | Bricco | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Here Comes Meg | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Perfect Banker | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
12 | 9 | Obsession’s Empire | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Starship Empire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Jet for Andy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Alite | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Step to the Bank | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Black Irish | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Have a Heart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Microgolden | 50.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
14 | 10 | Hay Lad | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | South Africa | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Call Me Harry | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Bronx Bomber | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Wow Brown | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Runningwscissors | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Scilly Cay | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
6 | 5 | Steam Engine | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Power Up Paynter | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Mirabell Mei | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
10A | 9 | Alley to Calvary | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Lido Key | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Kemba | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | R V Treasure | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Giggle Factory | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | Marquet Legacy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
12 | 11 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
9 | 8 | Tradeable | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
4 | 3 | Appreciate | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
2 | 2 | Alexacrat | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Tripp Road | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Candy Flower | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | First Dawn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16A | 16 | Tuff Bird | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 10 | Syzygy | 50.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Bowing Snowman | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | What’s My Category | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Reunion Tour | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Polpis | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
10 | 10 | Boo Who | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Out of Tune | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2A | 2 | Oliver’s Fortune | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
5A | 5 | Writer’s Regret | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
9 | 9 | Giramonte | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
6 | 6 | Scotto | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
11 | 11 | Stone Crazed | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Pier Forty | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Elusive Ruler | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Wild Banker | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Double Shot | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Beta | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Generalonamission | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
12 | 9 | Liam’s Fire | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Dublin Green | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Grandgran | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Beachside | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Quintarelli | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Will Sing for Wine | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Dudley Square | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Family Biz | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Blindwillie McTell | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
10 | 10 | Vintage Hollywood | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Our Last Buck | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Striking Speed | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Heirloom Kitten | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Twelth Man | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
12 | 12 | Villainous | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
11 | 11 | Singapore Trader | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | American Rule | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
13 | 13 | Aasr | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Alex M. Robb S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Mr. Buff | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Sea Foam | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Bankit | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | City Man | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Danny California | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Yankee Division | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Unbridled John | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Z’finale | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Bielefeld | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Brickyard | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Prince Halo | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
16 | 14 | Ringgood | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Yousaidhello | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
12 | 11 | Storm Alfeet | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
13 | 12 | Justintimeforwine | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
6 | 5 | Apex Predator | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
14 | 13 | Daithi | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
5 | 5 | Broadway Joe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Simbasalltrouble | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | True Palace | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
11 | 10 | Liquor | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
10 | 9 | Oliver Witha Twist | 30.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.