Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 11, 2020

December 11, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Hidden Promise 1.60 2.3 4-1
7 6 Satchel de Ritches 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Trump Um 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 3 Mister McLean 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Foreign Protocol 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Eustace 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Nathansmimsy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Lucky Rocket 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Hot Box 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Big Duke 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Autism Ability 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Ben Wade 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 7 Copper Halo 15.00 7.7 15-1
5 4 Falcons Fury 20.00 8.3 16-1
9 8 A Little Bit Lucky 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Joe Don Looney 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lozlovian 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Luxury Liner 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Righteously 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Commas Save Lives 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Sweet Kaela 3.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Joymaker 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Sober 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Nova Star 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Smooth Rithms 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Cute Maui Girl 20.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Exchange Vows 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Risen Lady 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Malibu Mistress 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Untouched Elegance 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Bounty of Gold 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Carrie’s Success 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Red Livy (IRE) 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Coastal Starlite 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Star Sundae 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Durga 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Back Beauty 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Lady Chrome 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Summer Rose 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Spanish Channel 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Livin’ At the Bu 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Gemma Royal 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Dee Gee 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Flashy Pass 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Holy Catholic 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Win Like Coach P 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Verry Bossy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Medina Spirit 2.00 1 2-1
9 6 Democrat 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 5 Eagle Chief 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 First Class Dad 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Kennebec 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Sensemaker 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Racing Ace 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 It’s My House 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Diva’s Finale 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Acting Out 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 A Melis 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Miss Fraulein 4.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Hotitude 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Jewel Thief 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Square Peggy 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Andyoushallreceive 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 No Cover Charge 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Tip Top Gal 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Devils Dance 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Western Smoke 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Squared Straight 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Air Jockey 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Union Dance 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Luckenbach 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Chosen Moon 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mobjack 15.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Asset 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Gone Awol 30.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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