December 11, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Maggie Moo | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Billee | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ephemeral | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Factor In | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shootinforthemoon | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chloe Rose | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Bella Nicole | 2.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Floating By | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boom Boom Gone | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ridgemont High | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Charge It | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wowwhatabrat | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Forever | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nana’s Shoes | 1.60 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maythehorsebwithu | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nobody Knew | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Basin | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heart Rhythm | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shackled Love | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Golden | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Big K | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Escapability | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Gulley | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brother Skye | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Extrasexybigdaddee | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indefatigable | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crownedcountcristo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fort Royal | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daystrike | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iwishiwaspecial | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top Me Off | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Campari | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock and Fellers (ARG) | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Enough | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Notable | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Princess Adira | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mae Sai Princess | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Tigress | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excess Capacity | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bluefield | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Remain Anonymous | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sarah’s Treasure | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dance and Dance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fortunate Friends | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Mark | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abiding Star | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nomo Ron | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lanier | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Cairo Kid | 8.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Play Nine | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Big City Bob | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | The Right Path | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Market Mover | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paul the Waiter | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toy | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | McElmore Avenue | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Courageous | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Youngest of Five | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Benandjoe | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ace Nine Nine | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trifor Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Proud Mandate | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Out | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tunstall | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Beauty | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halfinthewrapper | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Splasherstown | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Something | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Michelle’s Way | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Skylark | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.