Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 11, 2020

December 11, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Chamberlain 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Monte Ne 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Vicmar 4.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Who Is Jarett 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Grand Union 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Reaction Time 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Glacier Park 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Match Runner 30.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Future Prince 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bold Envoy 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Gemo 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Wicksters Dream 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Outshine 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Reservenotattained 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Shoshone Brave 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Makisupa (GB) 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Zoology 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Cat Lady 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Fearless Girl 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Copper 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 A Looker 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Witch Moon 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Think It Thru 2.50 1.3 3-1
8 6 Skyfly 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Jade Empress 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Khosea 5.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Uncaptured Heart 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Romantical Note 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Future Flay 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pisces 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pleasecallmeback 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Hardredcandy 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Palace Kitten 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Battalion 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hard Lighting 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Majestic Ro 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Trouble Coffee 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Uncaptured Soldier 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Super Triple 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Dreaming Thousand 3.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Con Permiso 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Uncaptured Pulse 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Master Q 6.00 4.7 9-1
11 10 Fratelli A. A. 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 You’re All Right 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Asterisco 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Royal Biz 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Attenti Mandatory 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Good Boy Roy 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Compass Cay 30.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Try Me 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jimmyssmokedcarrot 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sunset Promise 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Wicked Mercury 1.80 2.9 6-1
6 6 Trish the Dish 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Kitten’s Finest 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Mercy Mercy 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Gypsy Wife 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 De Pura Sangre 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Beautiful Rosie 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 6 Harts N Flowers 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Takestwotowiggle 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 5 Gravel Gertie 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 1 My Little Rose 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Mystic Comin Home 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Starship Blanca 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Surprise Arrival 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Risk Manager 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Sir Roberto 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tarantino 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Whatmakessammyrun 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Major Frontier 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Halcyon Digest 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mister Leonardo 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Quarky 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Seven Gems 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Pay Any Price 1.80 5.9 11-1
10 9 Cash Now 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Last Opportunity (IRE) 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Cryogenic 10.00 7.2 14-1
12 11 Shared Legacy 15.00 8 15-1
9 8 Kaufy Bean 15.00 8.7 16-1
13 12 Fair Catch 20.00 9.6 18-1
7 6 Mr. Tip 20.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Kobe Fifty Two 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sagamore Mischief 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Doc Amster 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ikeisgreat 4.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Storm Boarder (CHI) 30.00 10.9 21-1
11 10 Vinnie Van Go 30.00 13.2 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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