Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 11, 2020

December 11, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Get Directions 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 1 Customs in Dixie 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Dancin All Alone 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 3 Custom for Carlita 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Sharperthanme 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Top Hat Tantrum 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Aptiseno Line 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bella Belle 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Lady McKenzie 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Skyvalue 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tupelo Hon E 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Navy Regatta 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Scootin Bayou 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Over the Blues 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Kraft’s Rate 10.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Panterita 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Our Bermuda 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Eatorbeeaten 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Pancho’s Lucky Boy 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Silent Cry 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Clever Racer 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Shaq Jack 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Ide B a Winner 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 My Guitar 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 I Don’t Fly Coach 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Ripittotheright 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Cajun Up 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Bitsy’s Other Half 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Smarty Alex 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Irish Bayou 8.00 3.7 7-1
12 11 Good Old Charlie 12.00 5 9-1
11 10 Putthehammerdown 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Totally Addicted 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Roger’s World 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Egeauxtism 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Dusty Boy 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Degrasse 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Magic City Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Two Mikes N Doc G 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Liken It 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Excelisberg 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Foolish Steve 2.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Buggin Out 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Gotta A. P. B. 30.00 5 10-1
1 1 Arnina 30.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Dowling 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Listen Up 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Lea’s Princess 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Savvy Ally 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Sikum 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Sugar and Sass 4.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Stop War 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Heaven Escape 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Cindy’s Prayer 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Kilbarry Lady 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Sneak Peek 15.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 She’s All Skeet 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bee Balm 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Delicious Pursuit 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Allieverneedisyou (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Lady Anna 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Premier Wish 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Last to Know 3.00 1.6 3-1
10 9 Perfect Perigee 4.00 2 4-1
6 5 Nosy Banker 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Jade’s Classy One 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Coffee County 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Run Away Son 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Catinandscatin 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Guilty as Charged 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Friendofthecourt 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Minister’s Medal 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Readyforprimetime 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Majestic Sign 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Born Great 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Duncastle 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 About Our Time 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Race Driver 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Power End 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Homebred 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 The Gray Blur 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Voo Doo Doc 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Good One 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Seven Scents 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Monarchos Prayer 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Callmeonmycellfone 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sucre 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tiz the Storm 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Saints’ Girl 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Kehron’s Creed 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Flat Out Big Money 8.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Lil Allie Dancer 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Cherry Twist 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Stella’s Surprise 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Active Girl 15.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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