Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 10, 2020

December 10, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Queen Carmelita 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Sybil’s Kitty 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Starza 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Girona 2.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Galwalksintoabar 5.00 4 8-1
8 7 Wine At Sunset 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Lyrically Violent 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Gallantlystreaming (IRE) 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Spectacular Storm 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Phantom Indian 1.80 2.5 5-1
7 7 Run the Blues Away 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Miss Rebekah 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Winning Appeal 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Streaming Tiger 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Keep Your Coil 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Here Comes Ralphie 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Warrior Lady 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Alysse 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Bekele 20.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Military Princess 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dontmesswithtess 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Colosi 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Governance 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Diamond Blitz 5.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Pioneerofthestorm 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Friendly Outthedor 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Big Barrel 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Vodka Twist 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 T Bones Trick 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Bodega 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Leatherneck 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 You’re All Talk 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Pirates Cross 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Ms Big 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Later Days 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Molokini 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Stone Cold Lady 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Cold Brew Kelly 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Marvelous Marvella 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Little Vicky 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Smart Lola 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Big Hoochie Mama 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Brewed Big 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Paige Runner 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Posh Holly (IRE) 4.00 4.2 8-1
12 10 Lady Brexit 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sugary 3.50 4.5 9-1
9 7 Lexington Grace (IRE) 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Gratzie (GB) 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Destiny’s Journey 5.00 5.3 10-1
11 9 Reds Sacred Appeal 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Our Bold Princess 20.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Hot On the Trail 20.00 SCRATCH
8 98 Free My Soul 0.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Avalon Ride 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Seau 3.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Jan’s Reserve 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Cimpl Man 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Impression 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Upo 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Implicitly 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Uber Star 12.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Contagion 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 7 Remembertobreathe 30.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Tobacco Road 6.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Lifeline 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heartfullofstars 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Shane Zain 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Littlebitamedal 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Italiano 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Self Taught 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Camby 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Emerald Magic 10.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hot Pursuit 3.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Meetmeincali 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Mr. Artistic 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Lili’s Boy 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Dryspell 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Little Mischief 12.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Santiago’s Wish 15.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Light My Tiger 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Our Hy Roller 20.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Grey Point 20.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Autism Can Do 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Walking With Dino 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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