December 10, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Always Misbehaving | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Isle of Man | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alperes | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cuy | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tone Feelin | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Optimistic | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smarty J and B | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reinoanimaux | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Treasure Run | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bahamian Girl | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beast of Wildwood | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Markistan | 1.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Ice | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Princess | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salsa Rita | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takecharge Mirella | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Freeze Turkey | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thorover | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nona Rac | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Water Cay | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geometrico | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lisa’s First Love | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neverenoughcoco | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Painted Rags | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sigiloso | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willy Boi | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Red Man | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Champ | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Contender | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Future | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taleoftwobrothers | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She Fled the Scene | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glorious Gal | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Memphis Showboat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Recess | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Maria | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Derby Day | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Extravagant Rosie | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Star Swept | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cactus Kitten | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mandamus | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Peppina | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Meghan | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bramble Berry | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Worth Avenue | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nacho Mama | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncaptured Ruby | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jessica | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | O. K. Kay | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War Canoe | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’m Listening | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Una Luna | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Calentita (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Soothing | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Codrington | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Interest | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omnia | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sammie Sunshine | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moonlite Strike | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiger | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Real Talk | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Irish Honor | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Advance Cash | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hercules | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raison d’Air | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beam of Light | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Osaka Girl | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good On Paper | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hera | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | O’Malley | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Get Rewarded | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meadow Beauty | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classical Magic | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Puppet Master | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Yes Factor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Babybel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Divine Martha | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Red Frog | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jeanie’s Angel | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greater Plan | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Positive Skew | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | All About Kathern | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blues Songs | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Spirit | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rooney | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leo’s Diamond | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.