Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 10, 2020

December 10, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Always Misbehaving 1.20 2.6 5-1
8 8 Isle of Man 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Alperes 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Cuy 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tone Feelin 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Optimistic 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Smarty J and B 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Reinoanimaux 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Treasure Run 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bahamian Girl 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Beast of Wildwood 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Markistan 1.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Baby Ice 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dixie Princess 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Salsa Rita 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Takecharge Mirella 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Freeze Turkey 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Thorover 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Nona Rac 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Water Cay 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Geometrico 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Lisa’s First Love 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Neverenoughcoco 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Painted Rags 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sigiloso 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Willy Boi 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Captain 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 The Red Man 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Happy Champ 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Proud Contender 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Bella Future 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Taleoftwobrothers 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She Fled the Scene 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Glorious Gal 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Memphis Showboat 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Recess 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 Noble Maria 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Stormy Derby Day 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Extravagant Rosie 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Star Swept 12.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Cactus Kitten 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mandamus 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Miss Peppina 1.60 2.8 5-1
2 2 Royal Meghan 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Bramble Berry 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Worth Avenue 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Nacho Mama 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Uncaptured Ruby 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Jessica 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 O. K. Kay 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 War Canoe 1.40 3.6 7-1
6 5 I’m Listening 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Una Luna 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 2 Calentita (IRE) 12.00 5.1 10-1
10 8 Soothing 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Codrington 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Interest 30.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Omnia 1.80 SCRATCH
9 9 Sammie Sunshine 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonlite Strike 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Kiger 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Real Talk 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Irish Honor 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Advance Cash 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Hercules 12.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Raison d’Air 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beam of Light 3.50 1.9 4-1
11 8 Osaka Girl 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Good On Paper 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Hera 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 O’Malley 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Get Rewarded 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Meadow Beauty 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Classical Magic 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Puppet Master 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Yes Factor 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Babybel 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Divine Martha 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Little Red Frog 2.50 2 4-1
10 9 Jeanie’s Angel 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Greater Plan 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Positive Skew 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 All About Kathern 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Blues Songs 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Wicked Spirit 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Rooney 30.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Leo’s Diamond 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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