December 10, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Devils Back | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Data Load | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maintainance Matt | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goforthewinecourse | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pastor Van | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jail House | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forloveofcountry | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Comedian | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Healing | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steadytillready | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marshall Law (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impeachableoffense | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barleewon | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gemo Rain | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cantrell Hill | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | El Hombre | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Guitar King | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tune My Guitar | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Striking Star | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Taking Notes | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Sky | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | M V P Mookie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Standing Man | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Justinthenickotime | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | East Lex | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Maroon Maniac | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Day Trip | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Simply | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Curlington | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Ekaterinoslav | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Max Pandowdy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | He’s a Lucky Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Muscadine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Contact Tracing | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | O Dogg | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tlaloc | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Citadel | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boornazian | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poirier | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hooked a Goodwin | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haleys Sailor | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ceant | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sail On Ellen | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empress Eleanor | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chick Be Quick | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Patti | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloud Ten | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bee House | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Play Unified | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | New Year’s Party | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kick N Kiss | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tenpins Tempo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Passion | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mia O Maya | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ezee Enough | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Beauty | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bellamy Cay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dr Liz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Boston Cadillac | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Lynchburg | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Channel Won | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | O’L Red | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Richard’s Boy | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Its a Wrap | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister K | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spectrolite | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | A Song for Arch | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Loopallu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hotfoot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hilton Magic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Over Funded | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chublicious | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Truth Teller | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | No Quarter | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thunk | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rare Strain | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shackle the Gold | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Herewecometogetyou | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rivers Rising | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adieu Galaxy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.