Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 10, 2020

December 10, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Queen Gigi 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 4 Bliss La Vie 8.00 7.8 15-1
9 6 Fiery Flash 3.00 8.4 16-1
4 2 Gaby’s Promise 12.00 8.7 16-1
3 1 I’m All Mixed Up 8.00 9.3 18-1
10 7 Golden Bet 8.00 9.8 18-1
11 8 Primary First 15.00 9.8 19-1
1 1 My Little Gardner 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bigjim’s Silvergal 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Shouldacouldawould 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Angelic Kriss 20.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Cherokee Bless 4.50 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Byanymeans 1.60 2.1 4-1
8 8 Tap City Baby 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Realmente Calmada 10.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Costa Sugar 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Fancy Pants Jen 3.50 4 7-1
3 3 Miss Billie K 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Promise Tender 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Ladygogently 6.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mr. Curlin 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Sugarland Express 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Grand Prado 3.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Gottagojoe 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Comerunninboys 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Charli Michael 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Cc Nonstop Express 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Wayne’s Hope 20.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Daves Friend Dewey 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Good Times Rollin 20.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Wicked Fitz 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Da’money Alarm 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Poppi Is Smiling 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Smooth Gallop 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Far Out Time 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Approved 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 7 Saber Run 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 D’yeti Man 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Extra Dough 5.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Starzip 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Private Eye 15.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 My Pal Charlene 20.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Corinthan Lillie 6.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Arctic Guitar 4.50 9.4 18-1
6 6 Enough Heart 20.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Miz Bea’s Dwildcat 12.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Bit Coin Queen 2.00 9.8 19-1
7 7 Belinda 8.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Te Na Na 30.00 10 19-1
11 11 Prospect Crissi 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Red Rebel Star 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Korat Queen 5.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Granfathersleugirl 30.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Sassy Camille 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Lady Rad 5.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Ratatouille 12.00 7.5 14-1
4 3 Unbridled Harlan 6.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Chatain’s Flyer 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Prophetess Wisdom 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 6 Jamminformel 12.00 8.5 16-1
5 4 Sidasta 3.50 8.5 16-1
2 1 Geaux Golden 1.80 9.3 18-1
1A 11 Run Far Rylee 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Drewtempo 6.00 0.9 2-1
1 1 Saved At Sea 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Mucho Marvin 1.80 2.6 5-1
8 6 Cool Individual 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Jack’s Kiss 3.50 4 7-1
2 2 Punky Monkey 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 5 Whiskey’s Gone 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Nine Is Mine 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Ellerbe 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Whatdatpay Ray 20.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Jimi’s a Star 12.00 2 4-1
9 8 Pound for Pound 1.80 3.4 6-1
8 7 Gracida 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Double Star 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Flying Honeypot 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Noble Egyptian 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 Speedy Fellar 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Late Nite Mischief 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 De Commissioner 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Don’t Blink Twice 10.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 My Little Fanny 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Songs Discreet Cat 4.50 7.2 14-1
4 4 Camp Halo 6.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Spanish Exchange 12.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Missbudlitelime 15.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Stop the Friend 8.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 She’s the Boss 2.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 I’ll Fly Away 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sophisticated Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Rare One 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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