Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 8, 2020

December 8, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Celtic Vow 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 6 Caseyoudidn’tknow 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Sizzling Roma 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Easy Banker 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Iron Lilly 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Elissas Secret 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Miss Loyalty 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Inspired Options 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Copperhead Creek 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 E T’s Night Ranger 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Cantstoprunning 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Sunshine Crusader 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Splitzville 3.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Danzafied 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Fox in the Fog 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Lt. Columbo 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wood Bee 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Carmeltini 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Bella G 5.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Fine One Won 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Seahawk Lisa 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 New Jersey 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Shes Euphoric 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Hope Takes Over 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Our Curlene 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Sheknowsthedrill 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Miami Tiger 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Watch Your Words 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Drummer Don 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 4 American Roma 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Armament 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Neighborhood Bully 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Financial Freedom 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Lost Iron 12.00 5.8 11-1
1A 5 K D’s Cat Bird 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 2 Guns of Steel 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mucho Mas Grande 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Even Thunder 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Colour Guard 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Grit’n’grind 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Ark in the Dark 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Owin I Am 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Orbert 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lucky Hero 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Buddy’s Run 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Runs for Luck 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Winning Drive 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 4 True Wisdom 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Thomas Knight 5.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Don’t Make It Easy 6.00 5 9-1
8 7 Ironbound 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Jacks a Warrior 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 9 Blinding 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 2 Ask Chuck 20.00 8.3 16-1
1A 7 They Shot Sonny 3.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Bobcat 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Highwaytwentyseven 8.00 3 6-1
3 2 Beyond Gone 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Schwarbertown 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Distilled Spirit 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 3 Majestic Jazz 4.50 4 8-1
1A 7 Beacos Disco Pants 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 1 Geyser 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Flat Rate 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Ami’s Artie 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 8 The Minit I See U 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 9 Hollywood Overdogs 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Still Alive 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 7 Steady Love 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Dilly Dilly Philly 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Double the Bet 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 Lucky Olivia Rose 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Charly’s Charm 8.00 6 11-1
7 5 Roselba 10.00 6.8 13-1
1A 8 She’s Primo 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Justin Time 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Customerexperience 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Flat Out Beautiful 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Irish Cork 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Rock On Luke 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Koan 12.00 4 8-1
8 8 Bird King 4.00 4 8-1
9 9 Confessor 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Semi Excited 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 War Treaty 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Ruby Bleu 12.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 New Commission 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Bumperdoo 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Traffic Trouble 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 No Fly Zone 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Admiral Eastwood 4.50 6 11-1
8 8 Always Free 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Happyascanb 3.50 6.5 12-1
10 10 Mountain Tree 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Indirectly 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 City Guy 20.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Refi 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Managing Risk 20.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Jump Shot 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Proudmiamicitizen 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Just Enough 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 James Ciro 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lawyer Roy 20.00 10.8 20-1
3 3 Rules 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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