Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 8, 2020

December 8, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Macho Mark 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 8 Wheels Turning 20.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Holy Terms 20.00 2 4-1
9 10 Velvet Ridge 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 D’festive Cat 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 9 Cajuns Golden Pond 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 7 Out Making Treble 15.00 8 15-1
5 6 Vickslincolnlawyer 3.50 8.1 15-1
3 3 Dark Matter 5.00 8.3 16-1
1A 5 Valenzano 2.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Rocking Shoes 20.00 1.8 3-1
9 8 Lion Heart Legend 30.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Baptism 20.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Stormation 20.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Skylas Gold 2.50 6.6 13-1
6 5 Zoot Suit 4.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Tempt Fate 12.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Hoonani Road 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hubbadahubbadaboom 8.00 8.7 16-1
5 4 Aloha Betty 4.50 8.9 17-1
11 11 Fetchum Ketchum 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Roger Brown 12.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pleasant Vision 8.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Outcashed 10.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Kasens Train 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sammy Danseur Jr. 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Crusader Express 8.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Mr. Paycheck 10.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Prince Perfecta 15.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Magawildtime 20.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Wise Anchor 4.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Morricone 2.50 8.8 17-1
4 4 Gotiger Special 12.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kiss of the Wolf 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Our Prince 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Flash Dancerluck 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Holy Sunrise 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Pat Me Down 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Cat On the Roof 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Reece’s Priority 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Spread the Faith 4.50 7.5 14-1
9 9 Tapit On Race Day 1.20 7.7 15-1
2 2 Mr Makeithappen 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Silent Bell 20.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Malibu Midnight 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Taylor’s Lightning 8.00 6 11-1
4 3 Sunny Empire 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 4 Miss Jamie 4.50 6.3 12-1
6 5 Ashley’s New Shoes 1.60 6.3 12-1
2 2 Caged Bear 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Hallajoori 5.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Leftfieldjunction 15.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Chaosmos 20.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 He’s a Lady Tamer 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Blue Bomber 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ship Stalker 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Power Song 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Shooters Alley 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Doubleturbo 8.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Allidoisdreamofyou 2.50 7.1 13-1
5 5 Bourne in Nixa 3.50 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Stuart Hall 12.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Pinch Assault 20.00 1.9 4-1
1A 7 Why God 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Carbonated 4.50 2.8 5-1
9 8 King of the Testo 12.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Run Tappy 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Exton 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Above Board 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 3 Alex’s Turn 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Gotta Go 1.60 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Nana’s Joy 3.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Old Fashion Amour 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Wildabout Audrey 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sweet Amelia 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Storied Trip 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Honest Woman 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Charzee Baby 2.50 4 7-1
7 7 Hiclass Production 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Suckerforagrey 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Jennifer’s Arch 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Splashdown 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Blazing Sensation 30.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Carletta 20.00 6 11-1
12 12 Shouldacouldawould 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Eurobouttogetit 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Mamma Says 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Fiery Flash 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rose Runner 5.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Jewel of the Sky 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Starbuck Luck 6.00 9.3 18-1
6 5 Decadent Diamond 3.00 9.5 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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