December 7, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tizindy Queen | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fashion Merit | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr Frances | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | C. F. Shelauh | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kaitlyn’s Court | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lil Eva Jane | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Susan Strong | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laoban Furen | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shining Cause | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chief the Great | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ramaah | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sent’s Galaxy | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tensas Ten | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dracarys Fire | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Pegasus | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Superconductor | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Round Quarter | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Gumwrapper | 1.40 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | The Devils Back | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Thirstyprospect | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 4 | She’s My Priority | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Non Binding | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Eve’s Delight | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Hotmolly | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Platinum Queen | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eileen Alexandra | 1.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Double Red | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Thirsty | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Little Jen | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Da Due Run Run | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz One Fee | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lone Star Diva | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Schiff’s Corner | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | David’s Grace | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Avery’s Palace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miller’s Pointe | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dyess | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McLean | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crimson Zip | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lone Star Rebel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ready Edge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Boss Lady Melissa | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paddy O | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A J’s Grand | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fianna Hills | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mostly Awesome | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kris T. | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R T Alamo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elegant Orchid | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Typhoon Zing | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salt Life Angel | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heather Divine | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ashley Astray | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Jewels | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Fair Catch | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothoutthetrack | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grillin | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fruhl’n Around | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Get Directions | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Aim Spot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Joemo | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liam Skye | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Outlaw X. | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Classic Greeley | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mister Intuition | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth Current | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Johnnysjourney | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Natealyze | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alterana | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Bayou Bode | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pure Valor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kinlee’s Song | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Zipzaptime | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thetrashmanscoming | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mistake Present | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zing Zang | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Inferno | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candizar | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Truebadour | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paddock Pick | 2.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queeten | 4.50 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Drewcitable | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Aqualityindividual | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.