Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 7, 2020

December 7, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tizindy Queen 20.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Fashion Merit 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Dr Frances 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 6 C. F. Shelauh 20.00 2 4-1
9 8 Kaitlyn’s Court 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Lil Eva Jane 12.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 Susan Strong 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Laoban Furen 4.50 8.1 15-1
6 6 Shining Cause 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chief the Great 5.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Ramaah 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Sent’s Galaxy 12.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Tensas Ten 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Dracarys Fire 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Lucky Pegasus 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Superconductor 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Round Quarter 8.00 5 9-1
1A 7 Gumwrapper 1.40 6.6 12-1
1 5 The Devils Back 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Thirstyprospect 10.00 1.4 3-1
1A 4 She’s My Priority 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 6 Non Binding 10.00 1.5 3-1
1 2 Eve’s Delight 6.00 1.6 3-1
6 7 Hotmolly 5.00 5 10-1
2 1 Platinum Queen 2.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Eileen Alexandra 1.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Double Red 12.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Girl Thirsty 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 My Little Jen 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Da Due Run Run 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tiz One Fee 1.60 3.4 6-1
4 4 Lone Star Diva 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Schiff’s Corner 3.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 David’s Grace 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 5 Avery’s Palace 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Miller’s Pointe 12.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Dyess 1.60 5.7 11-1
4 4 McLean 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Crimson Zip 2.50 6.7 13-1
5 5 Lone Star Rebel 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ready Edge 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Boss Lady Melissa 10.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Paddy O 10.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 A J’s Grand 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Fianna Hills 1.60 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mostly Awesome 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Kris T. 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 R T Alamo 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Elegant Orchid 12.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Typhoon Zing 30.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Salt Life Angel 15.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Heather Divine 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Ashley Astray 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Seven Jewels 2.50 5.1 10-1
1 1 She’s a Fair Catch 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Smoothoutthetrack 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Grillin 4.50 9 17-1
9 9 Fruhl’n Around 8.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Get Directions 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Aim Spot 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Joemo 12.00 2 4-1
6 6 Liam Skye 15.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Outlaw X. 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 3 Classic Greeley 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Mister Intuition 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Smooth Current 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Johnnysjourney 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Natealyze 1.80 6.3 12-1
3 2 Alterana 4.00 9.5 18-1
1A 12 Bayou Bode 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pure Valor 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kinlee’s Song 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Zipzaptime 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Thetrashmanscoming 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Mistake Present 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Zing Zang 6.00 7.1 14-1
4 4 Lucky Inferno 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Candizar 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Sir Truebadour 10.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Great 20.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Paddock Pick 2.50 9.1 17-1
6 6 Queeten 4.50 9.8 19-1
11 11 Drewcitable 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Aqualityindividual 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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