December 6, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alphardini | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Promenade Princess | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eloquent Lady | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aspen Rose | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Haiti | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Worstbestideaever | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sevilla Sangria | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Cecil | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Throw Stones | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swing Your Sword | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Can Run | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Titos | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucian | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Count the Shells | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Portal One | 2.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adhwaa | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Finch | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Wildcat | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gimme’s Goldengirl | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot to Party | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucetta’s On Fire | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Old Bay | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Lassie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rona | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Automate | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jammin Still | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amen Corner | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Team Effort | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bellarmine Hall | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | English Tavern | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Good Man | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lambeau Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Sport | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Door Buster | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond in the Sun | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My My Girl | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Independence | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Likely Choice | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dragon Lily | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courtney Fay | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sick Pack Sara | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bean Indiscreet | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All About Audrey | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belly Flop | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dial Emma Reilly | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can I Ever | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walk It Out Nanny | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thunderinthevalley | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bottle Courage | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solea | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Country Miss | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carrot Cake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Indian Ghost | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charging Lion | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Zippin On By | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot N Spicy Love | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Americano | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shotmaster | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Forgiven | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trustyourinstinct | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tyreek | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crying for More | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Push to Start | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disputed Notion | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Determined Focus | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Start the Parade | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lambano | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.