Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 6, 2020

December 6, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alphardini 30.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Promenade Princess 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Eloquent Lady 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Aspen Rose 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Ms. Haiti 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Worstbestideaever 2.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sevilla Sangria 3.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Uncle Cecil 10.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Don’t Throw Stones 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Swing Your Sword 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Kid Can Run 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Triple Titos 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 8 Lucian 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Count the Shells 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Portal One 2.50 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Adhwaa 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Gold Finch 4.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Bourbon Wildcat 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Gimme’s Goldengirl 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Hot to Party 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Lucetta’s On Fire 20.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Miss Old Bay 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Golden Lassie 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Rona 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Automate 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Jammin Still 15.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Amen Corner 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Team Effort 5.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Bellarmine Hall 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 English Tavern 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 My Good Man 15.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lambeau Lady 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 Super Sport 6.00 1.2 2-1
10 10 Door Buster 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Diamond in the Sun 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 My My Girl 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Tiz Independence 15.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Likely Choice 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Dragon Lily 30.00 2 4-1
5 5 Courtney Fay 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sick Pack Sara 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Bean Indiscreet 2.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 All About Audrey 15.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Belly Flop 5.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Dial Emma Reilly 15.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Can I Ever 30.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Walk It Out Nanny 15.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Thunderinthevalley 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Bottle Courage 20.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Solea 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Country Miss 20.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Carrot Cake 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Indian Ghost 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Charging Lion 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 He’s Zippin On By 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Hot N Spicy Love 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Americano 10.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Shotmaster 30.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Always Forgiven 4.50 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Trustyourinstinct 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Tyreek 3.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Crying for More 20.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Push to Start 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Disputed Notion 15.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Determined Focus 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Start the Parade 10.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Mr. Shades of Gray 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Lambano 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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