Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 6, 2020

December 6, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kasim 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Under the Couvers 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Lord of War 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Spend Benjamins 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Work Ethic 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Berhanu 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Parmenides 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Midnight Tequila 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 7 Quick Indy 30.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Abhar 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Company Store 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 7 Captain Duke 3.00 3 6-1
6 5 Flaming Hot 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Extremelyexclusive 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Groovy Lemon Pie 5.00 4 8-1
9 8 Yes for Less 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Starship Taxi 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Pricey Victory 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Black Hope 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Cool Dixie Man 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Black Magic Woman 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 L’Indiscret 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Take Charge Ro 3.50 2 4-1
3 2 Summer Returns 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 3 Steal the Stars 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Lipslikecherries (GB) 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Aziza 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Raspberry Ballet 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Toastnjam 1.40 1.8 3-1
7 6 Florado 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Madame Rouge 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Kay’s Dream 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Awesome Annmarie 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Bend the Knee 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Trinni Cutie Pie 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reliability 2.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Alastor 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Vintage Kitten 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sir Hoski 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Strong Headed 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 New York Style 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ninja Dust 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Red Sorrell 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Cajun Embers 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Seize the Hay 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Teachable Moment 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Suleman 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 My Boy Blue 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Beyond the Call 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Jealous Eyes 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Mr. Mazza 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Big Perm 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 10 Nothinbutablur 15.00 8 15-1
10 10 Optimistic 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Reinoanimaux 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Seek Him First 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tone Feelin 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Alperes 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Bloke 30.00 11.7 22-1
6 6 Perfect Enough 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glitter Bay 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Pink Fizz 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Royal Habibi 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sassy Beast 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Competitive Speed 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Pandorica 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 All Come True (FR) 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Kelleycanrun 5.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Bean Counter 3.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Choate Bridge 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Centsless Drama 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Pardon My Heart 15.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 O’Malley 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Get Rewarded 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Good On Paper 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Osaka Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Sea of Blue 12.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Good Life Cider 15.00 11.7 22-1
4 4 Dynatown 20.00 12.7 24-1
11 11 Lady Panda 20.00 13.7 26-1
12 12 Baroness Vontrappe 20.00 13.7 26-1
5 5 Amadora 20.00 14.4 27-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Karen’s Cove 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Young Raymond 5.00 3 6-1
3 2 Northern 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Soldollie 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Killa Dee 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Starship Apollo 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Stone Hands 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 11 Dr Harlan 15.00 6.1 11-1
7 6 Steel Shot 30.00 8.6 16-1
11 10 Black Pepper 30.00 8.8 17-1
4 3 Espresso Caliente 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Flawless Moon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rule Yourself 3.50 2.2 4-1
11 10 Pont Du Gard 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Hero Tiger 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 5 Cash Call Kitten 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Surf Shack 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 First and Three 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Battle of Blenheim 12.00 7.7 15-1
13 11 Devoted Kitten 15.00 7.8 15-1
4 3 Toupha 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Dardanellos 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 National Honor 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mystical Moon 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Il Faraone 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Starship Aramis 1.40 SCRATCH
8 7 Honolulu Express 20.00 10.6 20-1
7 6 Just the Facts 30.00 11.6 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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