December 6, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lexi Em | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Film Study | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Scat | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lil’ Sister Lou | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Song | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Whodatwhodat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Have No Fear | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Femme Royale | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glance | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Fact | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Snip | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Altered Dream | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tashiara | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Margie’s Money | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | New Year’s Party | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Juanandora | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supersport Sally | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All in Bronson | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Deal | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tears for Paula | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Bandit | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meg and Clair | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Risky Reward | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goin’ Good | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Suite Madam Blue | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dont Float the Ice | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Boss | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Town | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Samurai | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saturday Night | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Archrival | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caymans Cobra | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sparkys Surprise | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magi | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talkothtown | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Crush | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Distinct Quality | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Freedom Factor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King of Candy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Ours to Keep | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War Film | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Executive Bonus | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | River Evangelist | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zanesville | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Antarctic | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foldover | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Meseta Diablo | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Independent Worker | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Erasmo’s Dream | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Overzealous | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Citali | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Killeen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Taken Back | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zenucci | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reckless Ransom | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Inspector Eddie | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Why Joey Why | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Impressive Student | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Chaos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Summer Palace | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forward Curve | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hawk of War | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Divulgence | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joyful Surprise | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Defied | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cool Runnings | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Mo Time At All | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Capt. Maestri | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Kentucky Summer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Candy Candy Candy | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mane Priority | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Linz | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Lil Rascal | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stang It | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Peastoch | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redding Well | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandy’s Wager | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Expresso | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.