Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 6, 2020

December 6, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bellagio 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Bourbonic 1.40 1.5 3-1
3 3 Blu Grotto 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sono Grato 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Speechin N Teachin 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Lend America 12.00 5 10-1
1 1 Magnificent Chrome 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princess in Charge 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Queendom 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 First Dawn 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Stretchthestory 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Choose Happiness 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Pendolino 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Foley Square 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 I Dare U 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Mad for Fame 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Scarf It Down 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Playwright 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Hardcore Folklore 1.60 2.9 5-1
2 2 Deep Sea 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Hooray for Harvey 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Real Dan 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Hero’s Hope 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Honorable Hero 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Seaside Retreat 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Dovima 1.20 2.3 4-1
2 2 Aunt Kat 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Alemia 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Berenice 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Halo City 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Dance for the Gold 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Lucky Girl 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Six Percent 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Chestertown 1.80 2 4-1
2A 2 Not That Brady 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Klickitat 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Pategory One 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Blugrascat’s Smile 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Opt 12.00 6.4 12-1
8A 8 Yankee Division 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gray Destiny 2.50 2.7 5-1
9 8 Athena Dancer 10.00 3 6-1
11 10 Laobanonaprayer 1.80 3.1 6-1
12 11 Flower’s Fortune 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Ms Wicked 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Jill’s a Hot Mess 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Shanes Pretty Lady 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 U Should B Dancing 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Pop the Bubbly 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Tangerine Dream 50.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Pazzion 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 6 Vive La Liberty 50.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Garland Of Roses S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Saguaro Row 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Lady Ninja 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Honor Way 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Hey Mamaluke 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Honey I’m Good 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Pacific Gale 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Bridlewood Cat 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Uno 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Dreamer’s Disease 1.60 2.4 5-1
8 8 Hold the Salsa 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Market Alert 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 The King Cheek 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 New York One 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 It’s Gravy 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Horn of Plenty 10.00 6.1 12-1
12 11 Windy Nations 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Jacoba 30.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Prospect Mountain 50.00 8 15-1
5 5 Jacks American Pie 50.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Karley O 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Celestial Dream 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Miss Moon Pie 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Kitten’s Romance 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Lemoncella 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Hot Button 3.00 3.5 7-1
11 10 Mia Calia 15.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Queen Daveigh 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Sander’s Empire 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Roma Carpe 30.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Sophie Fatale 50.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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