Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 5, 2020

December 5, 2020 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sharona Sunset 1.80 3 6-1
6 6 Norma’s Love 3.00 4 8-1
10 10 Pasito 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Laker Jet 12.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Union Smartie 10.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Luv Is All U Need 10.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Copper Cowgirl 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Tiz the Standard 15.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Charlotte Louise 15.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Starza 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Be Lifted Up 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Vidalia 20.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Siena Silk 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Vangogo 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Little Miss Belle 6.00 3 6-1
11 10 Palm d’Oro 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 M Fast 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Fierce Kitty 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Tico Time 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Slamin’ Daddy 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Listen Linda 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Something Chatter 50.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Derby Luck 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kalliniki 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Saving Sophie 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Stradari 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Queen Verrazano 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Rickie Nine Toe’s 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Ice Kitty 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Ballet Royalty 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Dairy Kid 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Excess Coil 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Theluteismine 2.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Alpine Thunder 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Standing O 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Champagne Pegasus 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Proud Lion 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Runaway Kristin 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Omph 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Rowdy Oh 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Sir Williams Dream 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Unhinged 20.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 My Man Bags 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Proud Musket 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Starlet S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princess Noor 1.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Astute 1.40 1.9 4-1
1 1 Kalypso 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Varda 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Nasreddine 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Honor America 4.50 4 8-1
7 7 Freedom Flyer 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Absolute Anna 5.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 Lunatic 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Miss Melody 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Lady Mystify 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Jump Into the Fire 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Backtoflash 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Kind But She Lies 15.00 8.7 16-1
10 9 Chrome of Our Own 15.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Ghostly Gal 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ginja 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Bound to Bet 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 7 Shady Empire 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Johnny Podres 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 6 Single Me Out 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 8 Psycho Dar 2.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Mon Camo 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Flicflac 10.00 6.1 11-1
6 4 Sound Judgment 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 9 Detangler 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Hot Encounter 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Perfect Fanny 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cajun Treasure 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Margot’s Boy 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Our Silver Oak 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Colour Me Happy (GB) 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mugaritz 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Popular Kid 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Strike Me Down 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Go Daddy Go 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Seeking Refuge 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shimmer Me Timbers 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Luckys Last Stand 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Father O’Flaherty 2.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Stalking Shadow 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Tribal Nation 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Robin’s Legacy 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Musical Gem 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Ben’s a Goalie 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Hard Metal 20.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Mancuso At the Mic 20.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Detective Bernardo 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Autism Can Do 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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