Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 5, 2020

December 5, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Royal Trumpet 20.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Baltimore Bud 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Papa Lew 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 The Fire Within 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Kukulkan 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Tiz Auction Time 2.50 6 11-1
5 5 Commissioner Biggs 1.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Watchthebourbon 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 The Exception 15.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Bold Trek 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Glorious Weekend 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Wind Ridge 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Classy Solution 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Ghost On a Mission 1.80 7.2 14-1
3 3 Find Your Boaz 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Luxero 10.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Gun Law 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Spanish d’Oro 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Charlie Potatoes 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Pirate’s Palace 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Crack the Safe 15.00 1.9 4-1
3A 3 Bananas On Fire 10.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Da Chrome 4.50 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’m the Talent 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Cause I’m Edgy 1.80 1.5 3-1
6 6 Parisian Diva 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 20.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 S W Briar Rose 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Auldwood Lane 12.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Simmard Shenanigan 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Ragtime Suzy 2.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Drive In 15.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Nymue’s Treasure 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Nelo Margarita 30.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Grecian Dancer 30.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Splendor Gal 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 I’mthekatsmeow 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Saltin’ the Rim 12.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Great Camanoe 10.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 The Revenger 10.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 McCain 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Abuelo Paps 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Tom Hagen 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Royal Crusader 15.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Moose Lodge 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maryland Juvenile Filly Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Targe 15.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Trip to Freedom 10.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Maxine’s Tap Room 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Street Lute 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Buckey’s Charm 10.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Juror Number Four 6.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Miss Nondescript 4.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Heartful 30.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Liam’s Missy 4.50 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Maryland Juvenile Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Alwaysinahurry 3.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Doubleoseven 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Hunter Joe 50.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Ain’t Da Beer Cold 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Jaxon Traveler 0.80 2.1 4-1
7 7 Latin Spice 20.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Singlino 6.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Talented Dr. B 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 B Determined 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Catch Ya Later Bro 1.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Nic Nic Boom 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Isabella’s Magic 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Kissedthegirls 12.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Forefront 30.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Power Back 15.00 2.6 5-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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