Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 5, 2020

December 5, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 King of Dreams 2.50 1.2 2-1
7 6 Weyburn 1.60 1.4 3-1
8 7 Cost Average 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Officiating 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Thruster 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Al’s Prince 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Kentucky Knight 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Magnificent Chrome 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Flat Awesome Jenny 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Rude Awaking 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Cover Photo 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Citizen Matzo 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Amers 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Zecha 30.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Movie Score 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lune Lake 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moonshine Maker 3.00 1.8 3-1
10 9 Judge Alexander 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Posse Can Disco 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Have a Heart 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Travelin Dani 15.00 4.5 8-1
14 13 Imperio D 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Fusilli 15.00 5 10-1
9 8 Apex Predator 20.00 5.7 11-1
13 12 Broadway Joe 20.00 6.3 12-1
12 11 Fivestar Bandit 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Liquor 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 10 Second Fortune 50.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Lady’s Boy 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Being Me 50.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Remsen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pickin’ Time 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Known Agenda 1.60 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ten for Ten 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Brooklyn Strong 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Erawan 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Chilly Choos 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Out First 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 La Urbana 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Summer Brew 2.00 3.6 7-1
10 8 Nythingzpazible 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Maria’s Gift 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Tassi 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Bonana Fanna Foe 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Empires First Lady 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Destinationwnrscir 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Siesta Kew 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Moonlight Kiss 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tellaperfecttale 20.00 SCRATCH
12 9 Early Edition 50.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Go For Wand H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nonna Madeline 0.80 1.9 4-1
6 6 Graceful Princess 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Portal Creek 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Sharp Starr 1.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Stand for the Flag 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Overheated 50.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Mrs. S 4.50 4 8-1
14 9 Prairie Fire 1.20 4.2 8-1
12 7 Sweet Kisses 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 6 Take Charge Tina 8.00 6.1 12-1
15 10 Jump for Joy 2.50 6.3 12-1
13 8 Dovey Lovey 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 1 Jasminesque 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 3 Jara 15.00 8.5 16-1
7 5 Bay Jewel 20.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Athwaaq 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Madam Maclean 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Divided Sky (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fetching 1.40 SCRATCH
11 11 La Croix Valmer 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Forgotten Hero 15.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Wicked Amber 30.00 13.4 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Wasp 2.00 1.4 3-1
12 10 Blitchton Lady 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Courageous Girl 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 7 Amos 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 9 My My Michelle 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Timeless Journey 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 6 Pure Bode 10.00 6 11-1
10 8 Desbordes 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 3 Ifihadachance 20.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Lottie’s Mizzion 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 First Dawn 30.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Dancing Slippers 30.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Demoiselle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Malathaat 0.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 Millefeuille 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Malibu Curl 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Cafe Society 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Traffic Lane 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Celestial Cheetah 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Dollar Mountain 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Caramocha 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cigar Mile H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 King Guillermo 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Performer 1.40 3.1 6-1
5 3 Mr. Buff 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 5 True Timber 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 6 Bon Raison 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 Snapper Sinclair 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Mind Control 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Firenze Fire 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Majestic Dunhill 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Sunday Gulfstream Park
Begins Sun, Feb 28 12:10 PM ET
Sunday Aqueduct
Begins Sun, Feb 28 1:20 PM ET
Sunday Fair Grounds
Begins Sun, Feb 28 2:00 PM ET
Sunday Oaklawn Park
Begins Sun, Feb 28 2:00 PM ET
Sunday Santa Anita
Begins Sun, Feb 28 3:30 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
NCAA Football
3:00 PM ET
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
Murray State Racers
Details
MLB Baseball
1:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
Details
MLB Baseball
1:05 PM ET
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
Details
MLB Baseball
3:05 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers
Texas Rangers
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies
Details
Go to Scoreboard