December 5, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | King of Dreams | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Weyburn | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cost Average | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Officiating | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thruster | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Al’s Prince | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Knight | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magnificent Chrome | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rude Awaking | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cover Photo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Citizen Matzo | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Amers | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zecha | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Movie Score | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lune Lake | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moonshine Maker | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Judge Alexander | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Posse Can Disco | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Have a Heart | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Travelin Dani | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Imperio D | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fusilli | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Apex Predator | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Broadway Joe | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fivestar Bandit | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liquor | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Second Fortune | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady’s Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Being Me | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Remsen S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pickin’ Time | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Known Agenda | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ten for Ten | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brooklyn Strong | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Erawan | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Chilly Choos | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Out First | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Urbana | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Summer Brew | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Nythingzpazible | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Maria’s Gift | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tassi | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empires First Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Destinationwnrscir | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Siesta Kew | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Moonlight Kiss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tellaperfecttale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Early Edition | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Go For Wand H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nonna Madeline | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Graceful Princess | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Portal Creek | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Starr | 1.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stand for the Flag | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overheated | 50.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Mrs. S | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Prairie Fire | 1.20 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Sweet Kisses | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Take Charge Tina | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Jump for Joy | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Dovey Lovey | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jasminesque | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Jara | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bay Jewel | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Athwaaq | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Madam Maclean | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Divided Sky (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fetching | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | La Croix Valmer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Forgotten Hero | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Wicked Amber | 30.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Wasp | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Blitchton Lady | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Courageous Girl | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Amos | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | My My Michelle | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Timeless Journey | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pure Bode | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Desbordes | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ifihadachance | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lottie’s Mizzion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | First Dawn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Dancing Slippers | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Demoiselle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malathaat | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Millefeuille | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Curl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cafe Society | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Traffic Lane | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Celestial Cheetah | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dollar Mountain | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Caramocha | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cigar Mile H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | King Guillermo | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Performer | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mr. Buff | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | True Timber | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Bon Raison | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Snapper Sinclair | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mind Control | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Firenze Fire | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Dunhill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.