Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 4, 2020

December 4, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 T D Dance 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 Indy Tourist 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Johny’s Fireball 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Spyglass 4.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Dyn O Mite 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Excess Magic 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Extra Mile 1.80 2.4 5-1
4 4 City Park 3.50 4 7-1
5 5 Kai Baby Kai 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Britts a Closer 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Drilling Report 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Half a Bite 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Venn 6.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Dulcimer Dame 1.80 2 4-1
6 7 Diamond and Silks 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Adina 6.00 3 6-1
7 8 All Dressed Up 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 6 Stang’s Galaxy 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Wheres Mom 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Speak Briley 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Cast Your Crown 20.00 6.3 12-1
1A 5 Brightnmorningstar 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lucky Artie 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Maw Maw’s Sophia 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Foursweetnieces 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Catcake 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Zydeco Music 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Hey Grace 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Blue Ridge Heat 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Sister Chloe 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Nine Line Bind 12.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 4 Sebs Princess 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 1 Apple Dapple 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 2 Strollin the Bayou 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 3 Marrazano 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 North of Eden 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Herbs Love 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Barbess 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cubs Win 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Chikara 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Da Gold Room 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 4 Chasing Anna 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 First Contact 6.00 2 4-1
7 6 My Sugar Town 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Hooperdrivesthboat 8.00 3 6-1
4 3 Taino House 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Ronnie’s Reasoning 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Blackshear 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Speak to Me 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 3 Darling Joanna 5.00 2.6 5-1
9 8 My Girl Sweet 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Explosively Hot 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Caramel Latte 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Shanghi Daisy 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Magic Coy 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Froideur 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Flirtyflirt 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 War Falcon 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Klayton’s Kandy 2.50 2.5 5-1
12 10 Masked Mandate 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 8 Chinatown Nancy 6.00 4.4 8-1
11 9 Kuhlke 15.00 6.7 13-1
13 11 Run Girl Run 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 3 Katie’s Karat 15.00 7 13-1
8 7 Bella’s Choice 20.00 7.7 14-1
3 2 Faded Memories 15.00 7.7 15-1
2 1 Veils and Vows 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 6 My Alibi 20.00 8.5 16-1
1A 14 Taylor’s Wish 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ms Satch Mo 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Flatteringapplause 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Looking for Bull 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Magic Vow 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Confederate Yell 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Social Misfit 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Hansen’s Holiday 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Binding 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Two Date 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Big Gig 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Tensas Toddy 12.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Sunday Gulfstream Park
Begins Sun, Feb 28 12:10 PM ET
Sunday Aqueduct
Begins Sun, Feb 28 1:20 PM ET
Sunday Fair Grounds
Begins Sun, Feb 28 2:00 PM ET
Sunday Oaklawn Park
Begins Sun, Feb 28 2:00 PM ET
Sunday Santa Anita
Begins Sun, Feb 28 3:30 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
NCAA Football
3:00 PM ET
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
Murray State Racers
Details
MLB Baseball
1:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Boston Red Sox
Detroit Tigers
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
Details
MLB Baseball
1:05 PM ET
Miami Marlins
Houston Astros
Details
MLB Baseball
3:05 PM ET
Milwaukee Brewers
Texas Rangers
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
Details
MLB Baseball
4:00 AM ET
New York Yankees
Philadelphia Phillies
Details
Go to Scoreboard