Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 3, 2020
December 3, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Serenade a Kitten | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheerleader Barb | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sum Nation | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Not Tonight Bobby | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Smart Spending | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Eye Kitten | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Okalani | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shine a Light | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Sky Smooth | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ten Pin Ally | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Lion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | One Night Stand | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | South Sea | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mustang Cat | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resident | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Crushem | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Powerful Ally | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Benefactor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | La Pinta | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Julie Bird (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shakem | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shang’s Sister | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Irazu | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Metafora | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Superior Drama | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Diva | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sangfroid | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | V K Star | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isla Bonita | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Postino’s Champion | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Paynter Fest | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hartling | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Assume Control | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | La Tres Jolie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grace’s Drama | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gran Etiqueta | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inedatequila | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Effiemeister | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Cara Bonita | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Our Little Devil | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Abarrio | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twinkiesandturnips | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | True Atka | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reiterate | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lalali | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yellen | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dinner At Five | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Mistress | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Broadway Peggy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lady Noy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Capeline | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | West Will Power | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Everfast | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Red Crescent | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Youcantcatchcurlin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Barna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | I Am the Grey | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Turlough | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Uncle Fun | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pugin | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Lord Flintshire | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Captured Star | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big City Red | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Westerly Wind | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | He Ain’t No Saint | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Superfrolicflash | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Andres Eduardo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Daisy’s Doc | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Unimpeached | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | The Best Distance | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sweeney’s Cat | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Can’t Be Broken | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Swaggy George | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onemoretimearound | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Braccio Di Ferro | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ensign Parker | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emit | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top Boss | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beaster | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caramel Chip | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Subsidiary | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Got Glee | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dealer’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Miami | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dancing Doll | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Prayingforthat | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Stormy Nelly | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awsum Roar | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Not Nice | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | True Heiress | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunset Empire | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Whip Me Into Shape | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fiber Optic | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | All Good | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thenorthremembers | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Emoji Guy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maverick Kitten | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Pillo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Burly Boy | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Semper Fi | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Louis Le Grande | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | South Pointe Drive | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rough Entry | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Axel | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | King Ottokar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Slippin Jimmy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Trouble Coffee | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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