Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 3, 2020

December 3, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Serenade a Kitten 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Cheerleader Barb 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 8 Sum Nation 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Not Tonight Bobby 4.50 4 7-1
11 9 Smart Spending 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Blue Eye Kitten 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Okalani 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Shine a Light 20.00 7.2 14-1
7 6 Silver Sky Smooth 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 10 Ten Pin Ally 30.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Baby Lion 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 One Night Stand 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 South Sea 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Mustang Cat 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Resident 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Candy Crushem 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Powerful Ally 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Benefactor 6.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 La Pinta 5.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Julie Bird (IRE) 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Shakem 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Shang’s Sister 4.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Irazu 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Metafora 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Superior Drama 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Broadway Diva 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Sangfroid 30.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 V K Star 30.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Isla Bonita 30.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Postino’s Champion 4.00 1.4 3-1
9 8 Paynter Fest 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Hartling 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Assume Control 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 La Tres Jolie 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Grace’s Drama 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Gran Etiqueta 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Lil Miss Hotshot 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Inedatequila 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Effiemeister 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 La Cara Bonita 2.50 4.2 8-1
11 11 Our Little Devil 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Queen Abarrio 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Twinkiesandturnips 15.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 True Atka 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Reiterate 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Lalali 8.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Yellen 15.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Dinner At Five 15.00 7 13-1
5 5 Royal Mistress 20.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Broadway Peggy 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lady Noy 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Capeline 30.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 West Will Power 1.60 1.9 4-1
4 3 Mexican Wonder Boy 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Everfast 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 2 Red Crescent 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 4 Youcantcatchcurlin 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Lord Barna 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 I Am the Grey 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Turlough 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 2 Uncle Fun 3.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Pugin 4.50 4.6 9-1
13 12 Lord Flintshire 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 The Captured Star 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Big City Red 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 10 Westerly Wind 12.00 8.2 16-1
6 5 He Ain’t No Saint 20.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Superfrolicflash 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Andres Eduardo 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Daisy’s Doc 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Unimpeached 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 The Best Distance 20.00 10.9 21-1
12 11 Sweeney’s Cat 30.00 11.3 21-1
9 8 Can’t Be Broken 30.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Swaggy George 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Onemoretimearound 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Braccio Di Ferro 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Ensign Parker 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Emit 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Top Boss 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Beaster 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Caramel Chip 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Subsidiary 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 6 Got Glee 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 9 Dealer’s Girl 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Miss Miami 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Dancing Doll 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 I’m Prayingforthat 8.00 5.1 10-1
11 10 Stormy Nelly 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Awsum Roar 5.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Not Nice 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 True Heiress 30.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Sunset Empire 1.80 SCRATCH
13 13 Whip Me Into Shape 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fiber Optic 30.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 All Good 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Thenorthremembers 4.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Emoji Guy 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Maverick Kitten 5.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 El Pillo 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Burly Boy 12.00 5 10-1
12 12 Semper Fi 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Louis Le Grande 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 South Pointe Drive 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Rough Entry 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Mr. Axel 20.00 9 17-1
13 13 King Ottokar 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Slippin Jimmy 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Trouble Coffee 30.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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