Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 3, 2020

December 3, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 In the Arch 1.80 2.8 5-1
5 6 Redoux 3.00 3.1 6-1
1A 4 Saint Goar 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 8 Joe’s Heifer 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 5 Mango Tree 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 3 Awe Shackle 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 7 Go Ortego Go 12.00 6 11-1
3 2 Justin’smemories 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sincerity 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Balook 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Ella’s Lil Star 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mandoline Star 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Dance Away 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Money Well Spent 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Fancy Mallory 5.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dixie Street 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Loveu and Proudofu 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Swinging Galaxy 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Knockalittlelouder 4.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Bibleman 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Hashtag Speed 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Gem of Carlos 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Diamond Palace 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Whatafind 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fireside Kitten 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Happy Sonrisa 4.50 3.6 7-1
11 10 Miss Sooner Girl 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Somthingscandalous 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Sneaky Dianne 6.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Cazadora 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Gio’s Lil Angel 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Lady Kaza 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 5 No Con Testa 15.00 8.8 17-1
12 11 Top Hat Tantrum 15.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Summer Express 20.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Gottabegolden 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miss Commish 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tale of Mona 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Club Soda 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Ninth Street 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Bajan Cash 5.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Kasilof 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Chief Envoy 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Flash Attack 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Rock Me 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 Familiar Rhythm 10.00 6 11-1
1 3 Riv 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Insurrection 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pranked 4.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 In Good Spirits 1.80 3.4 6-1
5 5 Temple City Terror 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Desert Oasis (GB) 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Kettle Valley 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Perfect Reins 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Russian Mafia 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Ylikedis 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Figure It Out 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Louisianalightning 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Customadeforasaint 6.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Candy Shopper 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Reposado 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Grand Priority 8.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Faith’s Raceday 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Baquero’s Bind 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 In a Bind 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Our Last Shot 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Cajun Navy 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Crown Me Jackson 20.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Miller’s Pointe 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Daddy Cool Cat 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Thunk 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Rare Strain 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kingston Street 30.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Doc Girl 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Art Rock 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Impeach Me 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Naughty Rendezvous 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Solar Reflection 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Special Assistant 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Fastest Spin 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Sneaky 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Broadway Fire 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Blue Xchange 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 Circleofsoul 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Looking Hot 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Amoreena Star 5.00 2.3 4-1
11 10 Flat Out Crypto 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Slewalyze 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Ma Cher Amio 6.00 3.6 7-1
12 11 Fort Pike 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Debs Prayer 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Heart That Binds 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Our Starlet 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Shop Around 20.00 8 15-1
9 8 Maybe Baby 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Bodie On Pointe 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Seeking the Stars 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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