December 3, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | In the Arch | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Redoux | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Saint Goar | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Joe’s Heifer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Mango Tree | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Awe Shackle | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Go Ortego Go | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Justin’smemories | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sincerity | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Balook | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ella’s Lil Star | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mandoline Star | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance Away | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Well Spent | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Mallory | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Street | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loveu and Proudofu | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swinging Galaxy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Knockalittlelouder | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bibleman | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hashtag Speed | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gem of Carlos | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Palace | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whatafind | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fireside Kitten | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Sonrisa | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Miss Sooner Girl | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Somthingscandalous | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sneaky Dianne | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cazadora | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gio’s Lil Angel | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Kaza | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Con Testa | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Top Hat Tantrum | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Express | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gottabegolden | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Commish | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tale of Mona | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Club Soda | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ninth Street | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bajan Cash | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kasilof | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chief Envoy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flash Attack | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rock Me | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Familiar Rhythm | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Riv | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Insurrection | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pranked | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | In Good Spirits | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temple City Terror | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Oasis (GB) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kettle Valley | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Reins | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Russian Mafia | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ylikedis | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Figure It Out | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Louisianalightning | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Customadeforasaint | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Candy Shopper | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reposado | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Priority | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Faith’s Raceday | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baquero’s Bind | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In a Bind | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Last Shot | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Navy | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crown Me Jackson | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miller’s Pointe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Daddy Cool Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Thunk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rare Strain | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kingston Street | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Doc Girl | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Art Rock | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impeach Me | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Rendezvous | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solar Reflection | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Special Assistant | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fastest Spin | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sneaky | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Broadway Fire | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blue Xchange | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Circleofsoul | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Looking Hot | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amoreena Star | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Flat Out Crypto | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Slewalyze | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ma Cher Amio | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fort Pike | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Debs Prayer | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart That Binds | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Our Starlet | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shop Around | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Maybe Baby | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodie On Pointe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Seeking the Stars | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.