December 3, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Amity Island | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poncho Song | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rosey’s Peach | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quarantina | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wish for Magic | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tradewar | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamy’spartygirl | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quashana | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosies Surprise | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gabby’sgoldenvoice | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Pallas Athene | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Five Alarm Robin | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Micromillion | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mike’s Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Sky Kitten | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | My Candy Girl | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elegant Zip | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Blame the Gods | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Patrona | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Fawzia | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Singular Sensation | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Puffery | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love and Love | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Roxy Girl | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Cent Tootsie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ok Honey | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Alana | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purrageous Dyna | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Invaluable | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Mumbles | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blood Moon | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Country | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tenderfoot | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Titan’s Will | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fried Rice King | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Albie | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Lizzie | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kiss and Run | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Kiki | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Courted | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Latkes | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin to Fly | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chaika | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey It’s Tati | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Menzamenz | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Home by Seven | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bonus Baby | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Idaka | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Crick | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tiny Magoo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Lullaby | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Leiha | 50.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | High Tide | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sul Candy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Royale | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Bay Street Money | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corkman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Bail Out | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Johnnypump | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | American Piper | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magic Mojo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Amano | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | My Boy Paddy | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Runabout | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Flowers for Lisa | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heavy Roller | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hammerin Aamer | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Durkin’s Call | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big Mountain | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Air Attack | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Direct Order | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kampai | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Felix in Fabula | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Destiny | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Outlaws | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild William | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiergan | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shandian | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Danfusi | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Impazible Odds | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy Jazz | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | On the Couch | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glenn Likes Gin | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No More Miracles | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | River Knight | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Notorious Flirt | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Roll With My Posse | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rockin Jo | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Possetizzly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Live in Five | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Love Me Tomorrow | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Remoane | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzys Image | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemoncella | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Grape Therapy | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empress Luciana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Women Not Easy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Excited Feeling | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arrietty | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Queentigua | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.