Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 3, 2020

December 3, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Amity Island 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Poncho Song 4.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Rosey’s Peach 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Quarantina 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Wish for Magic 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Tradewar 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Bellamy’spartygirl 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Quashana 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Rosies Surprise 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Gabby’sgoldenvoice 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Pallas Athene 1.80 1.3 2-1
8 5 Five Alarm Robin 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 6 Micromillion 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mike’s Girl 5.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Sky Kitten 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 3 My Candy Girl 20.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Elegant Zip 1.60 SCRATCH
4 2 Blame the Gods 50.00 7.3 14-1
7 4 Patrona 50.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Princess Fawzia 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Singular Sensation 1.80 2.4 5-1
1 1 Puffery 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Love and Love 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 My Roxy Girl 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Two Cent Tootsie 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Ok Honey 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Awesome Alana 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Purrageous Dyna 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Invaluable 1.60 2.6 5-1
3 3 Miami Mumbles 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Blood Moon 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Our Country 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tenderfoot 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Titan’s Will 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Fried Rice King 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Albie 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Lucky Lizzie 4.00 2.4 4-1
11 11 Kiss and Run 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Dancing Kiki 4.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Courted 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Lucky Latkes 3.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Lookin to Fly 6.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Chaika 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Hey It’s Tati 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Menzamenz 20.00 6.4 12-1
13 13 Home by Seven 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bonus Baby 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Idaka 30.00 8.1 15-1
16 16 Crick 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Tiny Magoo 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Saratoga Lullaby 30.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Princess Leiha 50.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 High Tide 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Sul Candy 3.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Royale 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 4 Bay Street Money 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Corkman 12.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Bail Out 8.00 3.9 7-1
12 8 Dreams of Tomorrow 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 1 Johnnypump 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 7 American Piper 30.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Magic Mojo 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Amano 4.50 SCRATCH
8 5 My Boy Paddy 50.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Runabout 4.00 1.6 3-1
7A 6 Flowers for Lisa 6.00 2.3 4-1
11 10 Skyler’s Scramjet 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Heavy Roller 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Hammerin Aamer 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Durkin’s Call 12.00 3.4 7-1
10 9 Big Mountain 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Air Attack 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Direct Order 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Kampai 30.00 7.7 14-1
4A 4 Felix in Fabula 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Our Destiny 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Three Outlaws 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Wild William 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Tiergan 10.00 4.7 9-1
13 13 Shandian 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Danfusi 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Impazible Odds 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Jimmy Jazz 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 On the Couch 4.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Glenn Likes Gin 30.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 No More Miracles 30.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 River Knight 30.00 9.2 17-1
15 15 Notorious Flirt 1.80 SCRATCH
16 16 Roll With My Posse 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Rockin Jo 50.00 12 23-1
14 14 Possetizzly 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Live in Five 15.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Love Me Tomorrow 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 4 Remoane 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Mizzys Image 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Lemoncella 15.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Grape Therapy 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Empress Luciana 10.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Women Not Easy 10.00 4.7 9-1
11 8 Excited Feeling 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Arrietty 30.00 7.4 14-1
7 5 Queentigua 30.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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