Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 1, 2020

December 1, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Factor This In 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Regal Quality 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 1 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Here Wego 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 5 Emperor John 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 3 King’s House 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Ami’s Artie 15.00 5 9-1
1A 8 Sheer Flattery 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Florencia 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Free Coffee 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Padrinoneverquits 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Valerie First 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Tiz a Sharpie 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Savannah’s Dream 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Supergirl Power 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Georgia Bonnet 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Pooch 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Will’s Pioneer 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Saucy Don 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Brother Tez 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 White Bluff 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Amblin Man 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Smart Royal T 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Smart and Tough 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Cape May Ferry 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Salsa’s Return 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Sight Line 3.00 3.4 7-1
11 11 Eden Ridge 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Algorix 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Immunity 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mantle 12.00 5 9-1
4 4 Legacy’s Prince 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Kid Mac Cool 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 High Flying Guy 20.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Banker’s Island 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Diamond Square 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Town Jak 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Kid d’Oro 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Strictly the Best 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Kid Macho 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Naughty Prince 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Roan Mountain 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Jw’s Third Mischie 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mission Oberon 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Sargeant Drive 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Dramatized 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Glory Song 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Our Philly Special 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Irish Meadow 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Aced 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Call Me Daddy 3.50 3.6 7-1
12 12 Tivano 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Kingsville 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Bodeflex 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Geebert 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Jw’strickymischief 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 Skipin On Orchard 15.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Impactful 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Rage Away 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Bobbyfromthepalm 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 2 Donnie Brasco 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Castle Casanova 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 House Arrest 4.50 4 8-1
6 5 Boat Over the Hill 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Gambit 10.00 4.9 9-1
11 10 Jones Taxi 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Li’l Dude L Do It 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 4 Gilded Warrior 20.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Mass Appeal 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Jerome Avenue 1.20 2.1 4-1
5 4 Mr Thrifty 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Over Sensual 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Awe Mun 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Screen Saver 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Postino’s Vow 15.00 6 11-1
2 1 Risque Rebel 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 6 Enduros Diamond 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Manolito 20.00 8 15-1
1 2 Celtic Treasure 1.20 SCRATCH
6 6 Flatexcel 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 9 Stay Smart 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 4 Precious 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Spin Control 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Above Par 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Dantastic 5.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Groovy Surprise 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 5 Capital Q 4.00 5.5 10-1
1 6 Arima 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 3 Blue Shine 20.00 10 19-1
1A 13 Like a Pro 10.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Chub Wagon 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Shesasuperfreak 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Double the Bet 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ahsad 3.50 2 4-1
4 3 Mr Classical 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 He Iz Gone 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Woodbury 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 4 Flat Out Flashy 8.00 5 9-1
12 12 Kadens Courage 4.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Dance for Oro 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 King’s Gold 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Luxury Suite 15.00 7.5 14-1
2 1 Cape May Style 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Kion 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Genghis 15.00 9.3 18-1
1A 13 Speed Syndrome 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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