Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 1, 2020
December 1, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Siberianproduction | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Song for Heddings | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half Heroine | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nineoneoneprayer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Queen Shasta | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Viking Voyage | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oretta | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Smiles | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Underrated | 4.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sienna Breeze | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gaby’s Promise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bernadettes Vision | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Katniss | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grace of David | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s too Cool | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skeeter | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Costa Sugar | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Alexandra | 1.60 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Apriority Girl | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Takenforgranted | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zedusive | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beaux Tox | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Velvet Night | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | K R Lucky Day | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Julio Choice | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shelleys a Warrior | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Senorita Tsunami | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah Adriana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Back Inthat Action | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tale of Tensas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Inseparable | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wind Zee | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G G Has a Shot | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Milagros | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bulletsandbourbon | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jozzy Bell | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Envoy’s Guilt | 1.80 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twn Palmysdestiny | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mabelee | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dit | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bubba Smack | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jacadoodledo | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | White Tail Deer | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Pulpit | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Priority | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paint I Ain’t | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ready Redding | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Touch of Gold | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zyzack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tincan Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Amandas Lightening | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Southern Dudette | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Squall | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Misty Day | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Thought | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ameerah B | 1.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Liaison Halo | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canyon Fire | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mutineer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Southernaire | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guilty Again | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’ll Raise You | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Such | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buck Duane | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malusita Tower | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flashyboy Bobb | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ride to the Wire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – My Trusty Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Modified | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Littlestitious | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Color of Dawn | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Xtrema | 2.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She Likes to Party | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taylor’s Tourist | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Jer’s Joy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Armed Missile | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Sweep | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dare to Be Stormy | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sweet Perfection | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overly Sweet | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aquaholic | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Little Girls Rule | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crider Chase | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Circleofcolor | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Challenge | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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