Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, December 1, 2020

December 1, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Siberianproduction 12.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Song for Heddings 2.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Half Heroine 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Nineoneoneprayer 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Queen Shasta 15.00 6 11-1
9 8 Viking Voyage 10.00 7.9 15-1
8 7 Oretta 15.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Golden Smiles 8.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Miss Underrated 4.00 9.8 18-1
7 7 Sienna Breeze 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Condesa’s Handmaid 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gaby’s Promise 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bernadettes Vision 10.00 1.3 3-1
7 7 Miss Katniss 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Grace of David 12.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 She’s too Cool 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Skeeter 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Costa Sugar 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Royal Alexandra 1.60 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Apriority Girl 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 4 Takenforgranted 10.00 1.5 3-1
4 3 Zedusive 20.00 1.6 3-1
3 2 Beaux Tox 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Velvet Night 15.00 2 4-1
6 5 K R Lucky Day 20.00 2.2 4-1
10 9 Julio Choice 4.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Shelleys a Warrior 6.00 8.9 17-1
7 6 Senorita Tsunami 5.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Sarah Adriana 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Back Inthat Action 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tale of Tensas 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Inseparable 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Wind Zee 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 G G Has a Shot 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Sweet Milagros 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bulletsandbourbon 30.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Jozzy Bell 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Envoy’s Guilt 1.80 6.4 12-1
6 6 Twn Palmysdestiny 4.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Miss Mabelee 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Dit 15.00 1.8 3-1
10 9 Bubba Smack 6.00 2 4-1
9 8 Jacadoodledo 20.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 White Tail Deer 20.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Unbridled Pulpit 30.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Double Priority 5.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Paint I Ain’t 2.50 9.6 18-1
8 7 Ready Redding 8.00 9.9 19-1
5 5 Touch of Gold 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Zyzack 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tincan Man 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Amandas Lightening 8.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Southern Dudette 10.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Miss Pat’s Girl 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Silver Squall 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Misty Day 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Tensas Thought 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Ameerah B 1.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Liaison Halo 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Canyon Fire 20.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mutineer 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Southernaire 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 D’tuff Cat Rey 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Guilty Again 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 I’ll Raise You 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Such 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Buck Duane 8.00 9 17-1
5 5 Malusita Tower 15.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Flashyboy Bobb 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Ride to the Wire 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – My Trusty Cat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Modified 10.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Littlestitious 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Color of Dawn 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Xtrema 2.50 5.6 10-1
4 4 She Likes to Party 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Taylor’s Tourist 1.60 6 11-1
7 7 Coach Jer’s Joy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Armed Missile 20.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Miracle Sweep 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dare to Be Stormy 4.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Sweet Perfection 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Overly Sweet 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Aquaholic 20.00 7.7 14-1
9 8 Little Girls Rule 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 9 Crider Chase 5.00 7.8 15-1
6 5 Circleofcolor 8.00 8 15-1
2 2 Ultimate Challenge 4.50 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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