Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 30, 2020

November 30, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Callinginthenight 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Saber Run 15.00 8.2 15-1
8 7 Rockinthered 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Alan’s Argument 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 D’yeti Man 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Fazio 12.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Lilrascalman 12.00 9.1 17-1
9 8 Baudette Blizzard 2.00 9.1 17-1
4 3 Mr. Production 6.00 9.3 17-1
3 2 K D Street 4.00 9.4 18-1
5 4 Friday’s Best 6.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Power Serve 5.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Star Rocket 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Tonights Star 12.00 4 8-1
8 7 Grand Tribute 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Six Grand 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Lil Bit of Justice 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Last Nite Out 1.40 6.8 13-1
6 5 Royal Galaxy 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Honor and Respect 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pac for Hawaii 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Open Tab 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Legally Binding 20.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Annie’s Luck 15.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Areyouinaband 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 C C Crown’s Choice 4.50 9.1 17-1
6 6 Guilty Confession 2.50 9.3 18-1
11 11 Broke and Praying 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Splendor Hour 20.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Accustomed to Hope 10.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Noon’s Babygirl 8.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bellarmine 10.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Majid 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Moment 20.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Randy Paul 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Don’t Split Tens 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Pops Legacy 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Forgotten Coast 6.00 6 11-1
12 12 Donwell 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Si Familia 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Chaosmos 15.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Stanton C 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Exton 10.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Call 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Money Lushka 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 My Harvey 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Drax 1.20 5.7 11-1
4 4 Trophy Daddy 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 K for Kohen 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mayan Ghost 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Quick Rae Rae 15.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 She Sang Dixie 20.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Mi Copa Rebosa 3.50 4 7-1
1 1 Amelia Madelyn 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 C C’s Baby Girl 15.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Ladygogently 15.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Daylight Deelite 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Laneys Love 4.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 D’wild Muffin 1.80 6.6 12-1
4 4 Five Queens 6.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jean Lafitte S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Saint Scotty 30.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Privet Moon 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Generator 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Drewhustle 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Dyn O Mite 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Awesome Gerry 1.20 5.7 11-1
3 3 Drain the Clock 4.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Maga Man 12.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Double Star 6.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 King Cookie 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Santiamen 5.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Halfmoon Reef 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Navy Times 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Impact Player 1.80 5.8 11-1
9 9 Wild Bert 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Tapizars Secret 3.50 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Holy Pearls 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bear Tooth Pass 20.00 9 17-1
7 7 Nitra 30.00 9 17-1
4 4 Missgreeley’ssong 20.00 9 17-1
9 9 Nonchalantly 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Devastating Beauty 8.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Louisiana Special 3.50 9.5 18-1
2 2 Super Legs 6.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Tap the Cat 20.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Fresh Snuff 2.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Crider Chase 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Circleofcolor 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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