November 30, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Callinginthenight | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saber Run | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rockinthered | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Alan’s Argument | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | D’yeti Man | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fazio | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Lilrascalman | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Baudette Blizzard | 2.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Production | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | K D Street | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Friday’s Best | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Power Serve | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Star Rocket | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tonights Star | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grand Tribute | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Six Grand | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Bit of Justice | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Last Nite Out | 1.40 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Galaxy | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Honor and Respect | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pac for Hawaii | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Open Tab | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Legally Binding | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Annie’s Luck | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Areyouinaband | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C C Crown’s Choice | 4.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guilty Confession | 2.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Broke and Praying | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Splendor Hour | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accustomed to Hope | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noon’s Babygirl | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bellarmine | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majid | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moment | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Randy Paul | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Split Tens | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pops Legacy | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten Coast | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Donwell | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Si Familia | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chaosmos | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stanton C | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Exton | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Call | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Lushka | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Harvey | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drax | 1.20 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trophy Daddy | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K for Kohen | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mayan Ghost | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Quick Rae Rae | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She Sang Dixie | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amelia Madelyn | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | C C’s Baby Girl | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ladygogently | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Daylight Deelite | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laneys Love | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D’wild Muffin | 1.80 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Queens | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Jean Lafitte S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Saint Scotty | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Privet Moon | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Generator | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drewhustle | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dyn O Mite | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Gerry | 1.20 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drain the Clock | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Maga Man | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Star | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Cookie | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Santiamen | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halfmoon Reef | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Times | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Impact Player | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Bert | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tapizars Secret | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Holy Pearls | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bear Tooth Pass | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nitra | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Missgreeley’ssong | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nonchalantly | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devastating Beauty | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Louisiana Special | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Legs | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tap the Cat | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fresh Snuff | 2.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crider Chase | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Circleofcolor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.