Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 29, 2020

November 29, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mary Alice 12.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sexyama 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Yesterdaysplan 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Tapete Claire 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Hetty G. 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Take Me Home 1.80 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bean Pole 50.00 2 4-1
2 2 Tempting Moment 30.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Favor Maker 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Maximo Strong 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Boss Life 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Power Boss 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Two Doors Down 6.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Yes Means No 2.50 6.9 13-1
7 7 Lifespan 1.60 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Keeper in Spite 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Toma 4.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Bourbon Gal 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Worstbestideaever 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Had the Notion 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Ran Char 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Be Bop a Lola 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Bodes Sunset 8.00 2.4 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 In Class 4.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Lana 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Calypso Ghost 1.40 1.5 3-1
8 8 Thunderturtle 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Win Then Grin 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Petes Pride 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Paz the Wine 30.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Chit Chat Girl 30.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Escapability 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 All Threes 1.60 1.3 3-1
2 2 Rapid Response 6.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 The Wolfman 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Ferocious Storm 30.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Smitten Enough 15.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Just Pick One 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Rip It 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Whatchasaid 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Thea’s Theme 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Introspection 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Melisande 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Iam a Dancer 15.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Adabel 10.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Rapidashqueen 10.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Scarlet Tanager 20.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Trading Cents 30.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Lightworker 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Moonlight Shadow 1.60 1.8 3-1
2 2 Itgot Grandma 5.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Approvethismessage 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Empty Nestr 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Campari 20.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Posterity 20.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Day 15.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Uhwarrie Sky 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Cheyenne Bull 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Proud Enough 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Eastport 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Linda’s Nekia 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Poser 6.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 Whiskey and You 12.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Oxide 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Marden 8.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Redeem Eddie 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Sir Back in Black 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Railmaster 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Youngest of Five 6.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Seven On the Rocks 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Girls Love Me 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Tommy Shelby 15.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 No Fooling Dude 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roof Top Bar 1.60 1.5 3-1
4 4 King Pacay 20.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Sensationalist 15.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Royalian 20.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Pardon the Pun 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 5 Summer Somewhere 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Drink More Bourbon 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Hinting 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Naked in Cabo 15.00 2.6 5-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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