November 29, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mary Alice | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sexyama | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yesterdaysplan | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapete Claire | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hetty G. | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Me Home | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bean Pole | 50.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tempting Moment | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Favor Maker | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maximo Strong | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Life | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Boss | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Two Doors Down | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Means No | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lifespan | 1.60 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Keeper in Spite | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toma | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Gal | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Worstbestideaever | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Had the Notion | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ran Char | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Be Bop a Lola | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bodes Sunset | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In Class | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lana | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calypso Ghost | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thunderturtle | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Win Then Grin | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petes Pride | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paz the Wine | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chit Chat Girl | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Escapability | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Threes | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Response | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Wolfman | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ferocious Storm | 30.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smitten Enough | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Pick One | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rip It | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whatchasaid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thea’s Theme | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Introspection | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Melisande | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iam a Dancer | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adabel | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rapidashqueen | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet Tanager | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trading Cents | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lightworker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Shadow | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itgot Grandma | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Approvethismessage | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empty Nestr | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Campari | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Posterity | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Day | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uhwarrie Sky | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cheyenne Bull | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Enough | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Eastport | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Linda’s Nekia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Poser | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Whiskey and You | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oxide | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marden | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Redeem Eddie | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Back in Black | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Railmaster | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Youngest of Five | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Seven On the Rocks | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girls Love Me | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tommy Shelby | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Fooling Dude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Roof Top Bar | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Pacay | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sensationalist | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royalian | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pardon the Pun | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Somewhere | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drink More Bourbon | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hinting | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Naked in Cabo | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.