November 28, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shakin Silver | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Alex | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Makati Phil | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ashleys Biscuit | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | G Don’t Know | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bestbangforyabuck | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Sloan | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mista Valentine | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ima Sunny Song | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | R and R Star | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Muletrain | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Away Son | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fast Verdict | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Palvera | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moonoverthebayou | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Commander Scott | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Binding Agreement | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tactical Priority | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Titanium Pledge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4 | Mucho Macho Bets | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Take That for Data | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | King of Candy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shirl’s Ready | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Independent Worker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vinyl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Clint Maroon (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Major Key | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lil Bad Lil Boujee | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gilded Apple | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crypto Brave | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divided | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Custom Gulch | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galaxy Star | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Little Guilty | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Em | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Greedy Gal X Lee | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go My Juliet | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Speak Briley | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Haute Cuisine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Stang’s Galaxy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Adina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Clocked in Tyme | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | St Maria | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 7 | Dreammaster | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Canihaveitlikethat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Freightrainfreeman | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Tapage | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Data Load | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mayberry Saloon | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ekaterinoslav | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlington | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | One Hitter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Days of Glory | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dom Caetano (ARG) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Briar Jumper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Shar’s Treasure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Have a Plan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 9 | Big Bella Brown | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Free Indeed | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Double Barrel Man | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | My Wise Cat | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cabo’s Rumor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | My Friend Flavin | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Prizeless | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Keys to the Palace | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Adrenaline | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zelig | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gracida | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rose’s Galaxy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncapped | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singapore Flash | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Parade Field | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Lethal Move | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Botswana Taps | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lemon Kick | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Biarritz | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Armchair Jockey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alfons Walde (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Toma Todo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Benelux | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Li’l Tootsie | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watrugonnadokaren | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Princess | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mariah’s Princess | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Impression | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cashew | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Frost | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pie Killer | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paytonsattheplate | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | Hold Tight | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Ghostlighter | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Palazzi | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McDowell | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Story of the Night | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beniah | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Loyal Louie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | B W P Special | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Mr. Brutus | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kobla Mas | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Freddy Flintshire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wentru | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ready to Show | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Custom Bobby’s | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfecture | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guilty Lover | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gallant Star | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Martinized | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Volition | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ready for Love | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adieu Le Chat | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aligned Interest | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cohere | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peytonwegotdonuts | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Catinandscatin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Go Ortego Go | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Widdle Zee | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.