November 28, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Three Ay Em | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Royal Act | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 7 | Marckie’s Water | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Masteroffoxhounds | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Irish Heatwave | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Lure Him In | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
9 | 8 | M Town Gem | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
11 | 9 | Never Easy | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Shot of a Lifetime | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
6 | 6 | Kazan (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | U. S. Danger | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Short Rib | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Gates of Heaven | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Ghoster | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | King Wave | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Love My Jimmy | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Sky Navigator | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | The Roan Ranger | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Runaway Wywy | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Mo See Cal | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Zee Drop | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Nasty | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Princess of Cairo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Croughavouke (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Meal Ticket | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Gypsy Spirit (GB) | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
10 | 9 | Heathers Grey | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Carpe Vinum | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
9 | 9 | Pulpit Rider | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Editor in Chief | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Allaboutthemoney | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Enough Nonsense | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Parnelli | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | North Pole | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Heliochrome | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Willy the Cobbler | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Jimmy Durante S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Plum Sexy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Fluffy Socks | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Javanica | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | Bay Storm | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Pizzazz | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Nimbostratus (FR) | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
12 | 10 | Magical Thought | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
11 | 11 | Polished Lady | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Invincible Gal (GB) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Closing Remarks | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
6 | 6 | Consternation (IRE) | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Connection | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Great Power | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | King Parker | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
10 | 10 | Bedrock | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Ecologist | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Single Me Out | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Final Rose | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
11 | 11 | Cal’s Gem | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Big Bad Gary | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
9 | 9 | Surfside Sunset | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
7 | 7 | Baby Gronk | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Seabiscuit H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 11 | Flavius | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Anothertwistafate | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Imperador (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
13 | 12 | Bowies Hero | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Blitzkrieg | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Spirit Animal | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Count Again | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | One Bad Boy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Next Shares | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Camino Del Paraiso | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Majestic Eagle | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
11 | 11 | Tartini | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | My Boy Jack | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Curry | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
9 | 9 | Colt Fiction | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Policy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Agamemnon | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Coalinga Road | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | I Will Not | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Strike It Lucky | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Abusive Gary | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | Perfect Fanny | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
10 | 10 | Night Gig | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hollywood Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Smooth Like Strait | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Domestic Spending (GB) | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
10 | 10 | Decorated Invader | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Taishan | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Storm the Court | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
13 | 13 | Gufo | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
9 | 9 | Get Smokin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Scarto | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
12 | 12 | Lane Way | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
7 | 7 | Strongconstitution | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Kanderel | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
6 | 6 | California Kook | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Ever Dangerous | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.