Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 28, 2020

November 28, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Charlie Five O 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Pacific Legend 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Romantic Man 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Risky Woods 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Sinashack 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Mister J T 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Judge Bern 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Magnificent Chrome 15.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 American Ruler 15.00 9.2 17-1
10A 10 Lost My Vowcher 15.00 9.7 18-1
6A 6 Stretch the Truth 15.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Corey Scores 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Ava K’s Girl 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Dream Chasing 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 High School Crush 8.00 5.5 10-1
11 10 All Over the Map 15.00 6 11-1
6 5 Itsakeyper 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Abby Normal 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 9 Tumbadora 30.00 8.9 17-1
2 1 Magical Romance 30.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Hurricane Breeze 1.80 SCRATCH
12 12 Positive Skew 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Henni Penny 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mani Pedi 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Gray Haze 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Mia Bea Star 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Syzygy 50.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Discovery S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shared Sense 1.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Monday Morning Qb 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Forza Di Oro 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Attachment Rate 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Ralston 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spirit Maker 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Connagh’s Quay 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 No Obligation 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Hardison 1.60 4.7 9-1
9 9 Girl Dad 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Iron Pearls 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Charleston Strong 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 American Gentleman 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Heroic Deed 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Ascending Moon 30.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Nepotism 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Constitutional Law 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Calculated Risker 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Dynamax Prime 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Autostrade 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Shalako 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mac’s Revolution 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 This Cat Can Fly 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Hawaiian Noises 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Successful Saint 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rugged Union 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Jailbreaker 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 All Mo 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 7 Subsidize 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Return the Ring 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Moonshiningbright 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Ask Neal 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Nicholas James 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Nerves of Steel 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Central Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Never Surprised 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 6 Hard Love 3.00 1.9 4-1
10 9 Royne 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Scarlett Sky 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Catman 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Breadman 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Counterfeitcurency 30.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Take Profit 50.00 7 13-1
1 1 Run Casper Run 50.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Original 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Center Aisle 0.60 2 4-1
6 6 Undine 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Critical Value 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Say Moi 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Glass Ceiling 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Kansas Kis 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Forever Changed 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Ja’s Malibu 50.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sayyaaf 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Archidust 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 True Valour (IRE) 10.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Therapist 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 El Tormenta 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Turned Aside 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Battle Station 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Lonhtwist 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Maxwell Esquire 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Hollywood Talent 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Long Island S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mutamakina (GB) 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Eliade (FR) 4.50 3 6-1
11 11 Hungry Kitten 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 English Affair 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Theodora B. 6.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Delta’s Kingdom 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Traipsing 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Wegetsdamunnys 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Beau Belle 15.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Siberian Iris (IRE) 20.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Pretty Point 20.00 8.2 16-1
13 13 Lovely Lucky 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 With Dignity 30.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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