November 28, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Charlie Five O | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Legend | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Romantic Man | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Risky Woods | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sinashack | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister J T | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Judge Bern | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnificent Chrome | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | American Ruler | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10A | 10 | Lost My Vowcher | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Stretch the Truth | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Corey Scores | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ava K’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dream Chasing | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High School Crush | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | All Over the Map | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Itsakeyper | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Abby Normal | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tumbadora | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Magical Romance | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Breeze | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Positive Skew | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Henni Penny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mani Pedi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gray Haze | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mia Bea Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Syzygy | 50.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Discovery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shared Sense | 1.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Monday Morning Qb | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forza Di Oro | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Attachment Rate | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ralston | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Maker | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Connagh’s Quay | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Obligation | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardison | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Girl Dad | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Pearls | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charleston Strong | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Gentleman | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heroic Deed | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ascending Moon | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nepotism | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Constitutional Law | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Calculated Risker | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamax Prime | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Autostrade | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shalako | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mac’s Revolution | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Cat Can Fly | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hawaiian Noises | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Successful Saint | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rugged Union | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jailbreaker | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | All Mo | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Subsidize | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Return the Ring | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonshiningbright | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ask Neal | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nicholas James | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Nerves of Steel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Central Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Never Surprised | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hard Love | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Royne | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlett Sky | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Catman | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breadman | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Counterfeitcurency | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take Profit | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Casper Run | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Original | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Center Aisle | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Undine | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Critical Value | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Say Moi | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glass Ceiling | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kansas Kis | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Changed | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ja’s Malibu | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sayyaaf | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Archidust | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Valour (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Therapist | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Tormenta | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turned Aside | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Station | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lonhtwist | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maxwell Esquire | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Talent | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Long Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mutamakina (GB) | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eliade (FR) | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hungry Kitten | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | English Affair | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Theodora B. | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Delta’s Kingdom | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Traipsing | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wegetsdamunnys | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Belle | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pretty Point | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lovely Lucky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | With Dignity | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.