Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 27, 2020

November 27, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Yes I’m Evil 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Elevententeetime 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 4 Our Slick Chick 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Little Code 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 5 Havinfunyet 3.00 4 8-1
5 3 Sundereya 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Fetching Fury 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Malibu Moira 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 With a Whisper 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Aimara 1.40 3.5 7-1
7 6 Your My Sunshine 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Wishing Belle 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Two Skies 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 My Baby Bele 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Zappi 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Payday Too 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 8 Freedomfi 6.00 4.7 9-1
11 9 Rifle Man 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 1 Unrestricted 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 3 Make Me Smile 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 2 My First Guitar 8.00 6 11-1
6 4 War Count 6.00 6.2 12-1
9 7 Greeley Went West 10.00 6.9 13-1
8 6 Louisiana Moon 10.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Im a Cowboy Too 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Pursuit of a Dream 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Winning Romance 3.00 4 8-1
4 3 Streamer 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Squox 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Tecate Time 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Louleigh 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Miss Nitap 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Rue Lala 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 No Ka Oi 6.00 4.1 8-1
11 7 Expensive 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 2 Roger’s World 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Gold Account 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 6 Pharaoh’s Kitten 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 1 Fiat Lux 12.00 6.7 13-1
12 8 Max Pandowdy 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 7 Keep a Eye On Mike 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 9 Broadcast Legend 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Blackshear 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Bayandbunny 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Suggested 1.60 SCRATCH
9 5 Dowling 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Social Dilemma 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Stillchargingmaria 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Latte Dolce 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Carbis Bay 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Wicked Bisou 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Beyond Heavenly 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Irish Hustle 3.50 4.8 9-1
12 9 Memory Magic 4.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 My Pepper Ann 6.00 6.5 12-1
11 8 For Real Alice 5.00 6.9 13-1
14 11 Crimson Feline 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 1 G’s Deadline 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Chanson La Belle 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 7 Exacta 12.00 8.2 15-1
3 2 Vita 12.00 8.5 16-1
13 10 Kodiak Sky 15.00 9.8 18-1
1 1 Scootin Bayou 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Elle Corredora 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Zydeco Music 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Theboyzgalaxy 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Swiftsure 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Rightandjust 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Unitedandresolute 3.50 2.3 4-1
1A 6 Rockdale 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Hull’s Heroics 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Smokey Harbor 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Eastside Cool 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Blameworthy 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 7 Fieldstone 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 8 River’s Raging 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 9 Boyo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cajun Cannon 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Highland Creek 3.50 2.7 5-1
12 12 Swot Analysis 8.00 4 7-1
8 8 K T’s Jilted Groom 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 War Savvy 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Fifty Protection 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Father Goose 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Smittys Patriarch 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Nosy Banker 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Captain Ziggy 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Your Time’s Coming 15.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Catinandscatin 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Widdle Zee 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Peytonwegotdonuts 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Martinized 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ballinonabudjet 20.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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