November 27, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Yes I’m Evil | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elevententeetime | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Our Slick Chick | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Little Code | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Havinfunyet | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sundereya | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fetching Fury | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Moira | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | With a Whisper | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aimara | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Your My Sunshine | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wishing Belle | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Skies | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Baby Bele | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zappi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Payday Too | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Freedomfi | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Rifle Man | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Unrestricted | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Make Me Smile | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | My First Guitar | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | War Count | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Greeley Went West | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Louisiana Moon | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Im a Cowboy Too | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pursuit of a Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Winning Romance | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Streamer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Squox | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tecate Time | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Louleigh | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Nitap | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rue Lala | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | No Ka Oi | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Expensive | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Roger’s World | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gold Account | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Pharaoh’s Kitten | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Fiat Lux | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Max Pandowdy | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Keep a Eye On Mike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Broadcast Legend | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Blackshear | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bayandbunny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Suggested | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Dowling | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Social Dilemma | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stillchargingmaria | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Latte Dolce | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carbis Bay | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Bisou | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Heavenly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Irish Hustle | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Memory Magic | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Pepper Ann | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | For Real Alice | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Crimson Feline | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | G’s Deadline | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chanson La Belle | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Exacta | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vita | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Kodiak Sky | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scootin Bayou | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Elle Corredora | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zydeco Music | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Theboyzgalaxy | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swiftsure | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rightandjust | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unitedandresolute | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Rockdale | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hull’s Heroics | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokey Harbor | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eastside Cool | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blameworthy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Fieldstone | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | River’s Raging | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Boyo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Cannon | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highland Creek | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Swot Analysis | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | K T’s Jilted Groom | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Savvy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fifty Protection | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Father Goose | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smittys Patriarch | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nosy Banker | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Ziggy | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Your Time’s Coming | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Catinandscatin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Widdle Zee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Peytonwegotdonuts | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Martinized | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ballinonabudjet | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.