November 27, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sidasta | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Rad | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Scat | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prophetess Wisdom | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Taylor | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Far Rylee | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thirstyamericangal | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Bindala | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lovely Teton | 1.80 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Marquee Moment | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twn Tawfeers Party | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Salesgirl | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nickys Guitar | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Younmehoneybunny | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paddy O’Belle | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flash Annie | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Tap Dances | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Shots | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maggie’s Return | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scampering Grayce | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fasthappy | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Isolation | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jus My Imagination | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merenica Mojo | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Track Smart | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fortheloveoflucy | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Birdie Call | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana’s Hope | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Senorita Tsunami | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Enduring Peace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clear the Nile | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magnanimus Man | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He’s an Honest Man | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wabash Cannonball | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alpha to Omega | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Sweet One | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allidoisdreamofyou | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hollywood Square | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Drewsizzle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Buck Duane | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lookie Loo | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whatakiss | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Egeauxtism | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Ridge | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Obstructed View | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamonmebaby | 1.40 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Civil Servant | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hope for Change | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Classic | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Putthehammerdown | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Picacho Peak | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Man Camp | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pickens | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aw Ite | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Broadway Jones | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fats | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boston Bind | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Ours N Stormy | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | May Hour | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Victory Trip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Donna’s Court | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bayou Bode | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | All Fore Kicks | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nana’s Joy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Argument Won | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harlans Warrior | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Guretta | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaydees in Town | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Weneedtotalk | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Billie K | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harper Bee | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love and Lemons | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Angel Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Treasure Chest S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Suzie’s Dream | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yes Gorgeous | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gibberish | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Nekia | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Beauty | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shes Our Fastest | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Aurelia Factor | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cherokeetin Xpress | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souvenir Channel | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clever Music | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Be a Bandit | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chicken Or the Egg | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madelyn’s Moment | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sofia Kape | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Perfection | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fayola | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Toshita Forever | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cabo Sunset | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joy to the World | 2.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.