Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 27, 2020

November 27, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sidasta 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Lady Rad 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Flat Scat 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Prophetess Wisdom 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Lucky Taylor 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Run Far Rylee 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Thirstyamericangal 3.50 6.7 13-1
1 1 Queen Bindala 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Lovely Teton 1.80 7.7 15-1
10 10 Marquee Moment 8.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Twn Tawfeers Party 12.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Salesgirl 1.60 3.1 6-1
2 2 Nickys Guitar 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Younmehoneybunny 4.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Paddy O’Belle 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Flash Annie 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Ten Tap Dances 3.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Cajun Shots 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Maggie’s Return 15.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Scampering Grayce 1.80 1.7 3-1
6 6 Fasthappy 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Isolation 8.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Jus My Imagination 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Merenica Mojo 15.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Track Smart 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Fortheloveoflucy 20.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Birdie Call 20.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Louisiana’s Hope 20.00 10 19-1
11 11 Senorita Tsunami 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Enduring Peace 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Clear the Nile 10.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Magnanimus Man 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 He’s an Honest Man 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Wabash Cannonball 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Alpha to Omega 2.00 8 15-1
6 6 It’s a Sweet One 20.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Allidoisdreamofyou 4.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Hollywood Square 15.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Drewsizzle 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Buck Duane 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lookie Loo 15.00 10.2 19-1
1 1 Whatakiss 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Egeauxtism 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Rock Ridge 5.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Obstructed View 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Dreamonmebaby 1.40 6.8 13-1
1 1 Civil Servant 3.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Hope for Change 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Storm Classic 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Putthehammerdown 10.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Picacho Peak 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Man Camp 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Pickens 2.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Aw Ite 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Broadway Jones 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Fats 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Boston Bind 4.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Half Ours N Stormy 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 May Hour 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Victory Trip 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Donna’s Court 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bayou Bode 8.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 All Fore Kicks 30.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Nana’s Joy 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Argument Won 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Harlans Warrior 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Miss Guretta 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Kaydees in Town 4.50 5.6 10-1
1 1 Weneedtotalk 1.80 5.6 11-1
8 8 Miss Billie K 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Harper Bee 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Love and Lemons 3.50 9.3 18-1
11 11 Angel Cat 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Treasure Chest S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Suzie’s Dream 20.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Yes Gorgeous 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Gibberish 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Queen Nekia 1.20 2.6 5-1
4 4 Regal Beauty 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Shes Our Fastest 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 The Aurelia Factor 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cherokeetin Xpress 20.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Souvenir Channel 15.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Clever Music 20.00 9 17-1
8 7 Be a Bandit 10.00 9.2 17-1
11 10 Chicken Or the Egg 12.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Madelyn’s Moment 6.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Sofia Kape 30.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Sweet Perfection 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Fayola 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Toshita Forever 15.00 10 19-1
10 9 Cabo Sunset 8.00 10.4 20-1
6 6 Joy to the World 2.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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