November 27, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | A Longlongtimeago | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Full Moon Fever | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dante’s Map | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Reunion Tour | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Re Created | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blurt | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Man Mike | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Miss Dracarys | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Hugger | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Singe | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Why She Dew Dat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stuck On Kitten | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 9 | Shop Girl | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Palm Court | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | In Vain | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Sway Me | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Split Then Double (GB) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 8 | My Delicious | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | A Higher Love | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Mun Luv | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Except Temptation | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ricelle | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | O’Gotten Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Daria’s Angel | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Stay Fond | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Viradia | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Factoring | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sister Alexa | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nana’s Shoes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Color Chart | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Offlee Irish | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Movie Score | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Beyond Discreet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spin a Yarn | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Impazible Donna | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruvies in Time | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Money | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ellarella | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City Temper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 6 | Cheatham Hill | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Alphadora | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dublinornothin | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wailin Josie | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Gio Ponti S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ajourneytofreedom | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bodecream | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Basquiat | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Price Talk | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | City Man | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vanzzy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Reconvene | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fighting Seabee | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Me and Mr. C | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starting Over | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doc Boy | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sail At Sunrise | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sirenic | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fair Lassie | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Whyisshesoolucky | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Deal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tied Up | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suz | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Liana | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Di | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hardstonemelody | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tropical Joy | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pete’s Play Call | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Clench | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Chateau | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onemoregreattime | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Rules | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zoomer | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cucina | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fortune’s Fool | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Comely S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thankful | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Marissa | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Princess | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Danvers | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gale | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Project Whiskey | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Sweet Wife | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Rhythm | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Toned Up | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Makingcents | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Forever Together S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Miss Teheran (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Tapit Today | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Feel Glorious (GB) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Myhartblongstodady | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chaleur (GB) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | No Mo Lady | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Overheated | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sorrentina Lemon | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Simplicity (FR) | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Story Time | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madita (GER) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | I’llhandalthecash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Platinum Paynter | 50.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Southerner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Lokoya Road | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Rising | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Accessible | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pool Shark | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Caps | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moonshine Now | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Feeling Dangerous | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | This Ill Defend | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Seediskid | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lil Jojo | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inappropriate | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Champers | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Trade Deadline | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Across the Channel | 50.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.