Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 27, 2020

November 27, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 A Longlongtimeago 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Full Moon Fever 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dante’s Map 6.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Reunion Tour 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Re Created 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Blurt 30.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Our Man Mike 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Miss Dracarys 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 I’m a Hugger 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Singe 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Why She Dew Dat 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Stuck On Kitten 3.50 SCRATCH
16 9 Shop Girl 2.50 2.4 4-1
9 6 Palm Court 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 1 In Vain 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 2 Sway Me 10.00 4.2 8-1
13 13 Split Then Double (GB) 1.80 SCRATCH
15 8 My Delicious 12.00 5 10-1
6 3 A Higher Love 15.00 6 11-1
14 7 Mun Luv 4.00 6.4 12-1
7 4 Except Temptation 30.00 8.8 17-1
8 5 Ricelle 50.00 11.1 21-1
12 12 O’Gotten Girl 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Daria’s Angel 2.50 2.2 4-1
5A 4 Stay Fond 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Viradia 4.50 3.4 7-1
9 8 Factoring 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Sister Alexa 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Nana’s Shoes 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Color Chart 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Offlee Irish 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 5 Peaches and Spice 30.00 9.2 17-1
3A 3 Movie Score 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Beyond Discreet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spin a Yarn 1.60 2.2 4-1
9 8 Impazible Donna 4.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Ruvies in Time 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Honey Money 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Ellarella 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 City Temper 15.00 SCRATCH
7A 6 Cheatham Hill 8.00 5.5 10-1
4A 4 Alphadora 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Dublinornothin 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 9 Wailin Josie 20.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Gio Ponti S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ajourneytofreedom 6.00 2.2 4-1
11 9 Bodecream 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Basquiat 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Price Talk 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 8 City Man 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Vanzzy 12.00 SCRATCH
12 10 Reconvene 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Fighting Seabee 12.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Me and Mr. C 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Starting Over 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Doc Boy 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Sail At Sunrise 50.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sirenic 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Fair Lassie 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Whyisshesoolucky 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 No Deal 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Tied Up 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Suz 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Miss Liana 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Di 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Hardstonemelody 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Tropical Joy 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pete’s Play Call 1.40 2.1 4-1
1A 1 Clench 1.60 2.2 4-1
5A 5 Chateau 1.60 2.4 5-1
3 3 Onemoregreattime 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Secret Rules 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Zoomer 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Cucina 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Fortune’s Fool 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Comely S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Thankful 4.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Miss Marissa 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ice Princess 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mrs. Danvers 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 7 Gale 4.50 3.6 7-1
10 8 Project Whiskey 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 My Sweet Wife 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Pure Rhythm 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Toned Up 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Makingcents 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Forever Together S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Miss Teheran (IRE) 8.00 2.9 5-1
12 10 Tapit Today 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Feel Glorious (GB) 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 7 Myhartblongstodady 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Chaleur (GB) 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 5 No Mo Lady 15.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Overheated 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Sorrentina Lemon 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 1 Simplicity (FR) 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 6 Story Time 30.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Madita (GER) 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 I’llhandalthecash 20.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Platinum Paynter 50.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Southerner 5.00 SCRATCH
12 9 Lokoya Road 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Bourbon Rising 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Accessible 4.50 4.1 8-1
11 11 Pool Shark 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Prince of Caps 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Moonshine Now 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Feeling Dangerous 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 This Ill Defend 8.00 4.8 9-1
16 16 Seediskid 50.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lil Jojo 30.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Inappropriate 20.00 7.1 14-1
6 6 Champers 20.00 7.5 14-1
14 14 Cherokee Song 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Trade Deadline 2.00 SCRATCH
13 10 Across the Channel 50.00 13.8 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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