Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 26, 2020

November 26, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Skycraft 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Go for Moonshine 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Cap Rock Miner 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Son of a Saint 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Hideaway Hero 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Grand Marais 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Beauty Boy 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Trapper Peak 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Common Law Cat 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Amazing American 4.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Sir Pokerface 3.50 6 11-1
11 11 Amazing Sound 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Clever Racer 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Ide B a Winner 12.00 7 13-1
10 10 Martin G 8.00 7 13-1
5 5 Silent Cry 10.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Too Much Bourbon 12.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 First Metal Count 12.00 9.4 18-1
12 12 Shaq Jack 12.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Royal Galaxy 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Grand Little Man 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Coach O’Shea 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 C F Johnathan 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Doug’s Bug 20.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 5 Treys Midnite Moon 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 2 Killeen 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 3 Chop Chop Charlie 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 1 Broken Key 12.00 8.4 16-1
10 4 Woman With a Book 20.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Foldover 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Executive Bonus 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Freedom Factor 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lethal Move 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 River Evangelist 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 War Film 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Meseta Diablo 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 A P Is Loose 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Independent Worker 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Delta Traveler 3.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Mollys Flyin High 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Ours Forever 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Mrs. Judy 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 G’s a Looker 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Halfglamorous 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Lucky Linda 12.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Opps My Bad 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Ibegtodiffer 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Singing n’ Praying 20.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Sumitup 20.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 A. K. A. Grams 20.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Harriet’s Dream 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 10 Luck of the Draw 4.50 3.9 7-1
12 9 Love Conquers 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 7 Reluctant Warrior 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Guitar Tribute 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 6 Imindycatbirdseat 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Rahfees Man 12.00 6.1 12-1
14 11 In Charge Halo 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 5 Stuck in Vegas 12.00 6.7 13-1
11 8 Remembermis 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 2 Bold Zarb 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Papa’s Boy 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Star Banjo 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mangelsen 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cajun Pinata 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Free Indeed 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Pancho’s Lucky Boy 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Kinetic Sky 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Proxy 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Go West 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Plucky Strike 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 K Rules 10.00 5.4 10-1
1A 8 Oxwood 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 5 Run Far 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Afwan 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Big Lake 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 3 Logical Myth 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 4 Andesite 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Silver N Lai 8.00 5 9-1
6 2 Fielder 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 On a Spree 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Oak Hill 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Honovi 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Vinyl 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Star of Kodiak 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gunnison 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bundibunan 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fly the W 20.00 SCRATCH
13 6 Post Close 20.00 10.1 19-1
11 5 Leader of Men 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Thanksgiving Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Manny Wah 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Nitrous 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 Bobby’s Wicked One 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Landeskog 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Mr Money Bags 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Tringale 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Chublicious 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 He’s Smokin Now 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Disobedient 6.00 2.4 5-1
15 10 Lemon Chill 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Audrey’s Time 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 By the Book 20.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Fort Polk 15.00 5 10-1
2 1 American Dream 15.00 5.2 10-1
12 7 Alliaceous 8.00 6.6 13-1
14 9 Sweet Blindness 30.00 7.2 14-1
6 5 Widow of Nain 50.00 8.4 16-1
13 8 Lil Ashley B. 30.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Zero to Sixty 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 I Hear You 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Marywood 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 More Good Times 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Elle M’a Souri (FR) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Shades of Truth 3.50 1.3 3-1
1 1 Australasia 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 5 Smittys Barracuda 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Hong Kong Strong 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 World War 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Strummer 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 G’s Squeeze 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Inawic 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 Platinum Sky 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Audacious Girl 30.00 8 15-1
12 11 Fuhr Meo 30.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Gone Midnight 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Debs Prayer 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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