Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 26, 2020

November 26, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Today Matters 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Papale 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Govenor’s Party 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Red Hot Cat 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Cozy Bear 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Saguaro 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Paisano 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Burnin Turf 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Squared Straight 4.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Duchesne 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 N. K. Rocket Man 6.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Mamba Cool 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Cool Your Jets 3.00 4 8-1
9 9 One Fast Bro 3.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Secret Club 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Question Authority 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Horse Greedy 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 6 Lionite 5.00 4 8-1
8 5 Secret Courier 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Italiano 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Natural History 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Cartellate 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Royal Trump 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Julius 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Leading Score 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Over Attracted 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Applecross (IRE) 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Beguiled 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Avenue de France (FR) 5.00 4.2 8-1
12 10 Freedom Lass 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Awesome Drive 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 9 Miss Addie Pray 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 4 Dolce 6.00 7.3 14-1
10 8 Woke Up to Aces 15.00 8.8 17-1
8 7 Go Big Blue Nation 20.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Resarcio 0.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lucia’s Design 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Reiwa 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malibu Prince 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Street Behavior 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Western Smoke 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Most Sandisfactory 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Kenjilookslucky 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mongol Altai 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Derby War 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Master Recovery 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 River North 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Red Carpet H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Orglandes (FR) 2.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Blame Debbie 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Never Be Enough (GB) 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 California Kook 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Quick (GB) 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Colonial Creed 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Going to Vegas 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Aunt Lubie 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Hollywood Girl 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Woodfin 30.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Uncaptured Hero 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Octopus 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Smileforme 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Gangly 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Dorita’s Lemon 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Call You Tomorrow 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Street Image 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Satchel de Ritches 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Leatherneck 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Big Barrel 20.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Invictatatus 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Turn the Switch 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Bench Judge 3.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Hoop Dream 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Armour Plate 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 10 Bud Knight 5.00 4.3 8-1
14 11 Railsplitter 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Gregdar 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Go Time 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 Praise Loudly 30.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Final Rose 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Antithetical 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dreamer’s Reality 0.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Palace Prince 30.00 10.1 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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