November 25, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Redding Well | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Correct Answer | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Angelic Kriss | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dignityto Infinity | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Able Catch | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wish for Interest | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Trick | 2.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Primary First | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awishforgreeley | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jewel of the Sky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Carletta | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Jerry’s Legacy | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Unmentionable | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lauralee Cocodree | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Pegasus | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dark Sarcasm | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zugersee | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Will B Late | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mitch’s Pins | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aim Spot | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | See Sassy Run | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Selfish Woman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | My Little Diva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Coast Guardsman | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wise Verdict | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Custom Pancho | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Callthewolfe | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Terms | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beaux Victory | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Diver | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brithasgoldencents | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Curlin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Good Times Rollin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wise Anchor | 4.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rollwithit | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buck Dynasty | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | From Now On | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Factor | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I B Revolutionery | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lip Service | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Its a City Day | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Toe | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dancehall Jack | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Song N a Cat | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Drewsizzle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Andy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Mostly Distorted | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Susan Strong | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rebecca’s Music | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ruby Stiletto | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Runaway Henny | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | World Party | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mopsicle | 1.80 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dakota’s Biz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Andthebeatgoeson | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flashy Image | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That’s D ‘cat | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Purim King | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Greeley | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Intuition | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnnysjourney | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three Run Homer | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alex’s Turn | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kinlee’s Song | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alterana | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Binding | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kai Baby Kai | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Slither | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gotta Go | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Foolish Steve | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hooray Austin | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Colossus | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes He Can | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Principe Guilherme | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lookout S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Girl Thirsty | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smok’n Rita | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saber Cut | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Veronica’s Dream | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quikfast N Ahurry | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Schiff’s Corner | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenpins Tempo | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saints N Muskets | 4.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Play Unified | 2.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Suzie’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Spirit | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desiard | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lions Hot Mess | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Guilty | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brave Rifle | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Count | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classy’s Fast Roy | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elisher | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flashburn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Inlike Flen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Richards Dream | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duritz | 1.80 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.