Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 22, 2020

November 22, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Twirling Faith 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Jumping Jill Flash 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Second Grace 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Vespolina 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Trading Bay 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Frame This 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Mrs. Del 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Hello Friends 10.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Abbaa 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Kitchen Fire 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 He’s Meant to Be 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 In a Twist 3.50 4 7-1
9 9 Station Rock 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Distinct Passion 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sent From Heaven 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Thor’s Thunder 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Smarty River Pants 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lady War Machine 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Road to Romance 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Believing 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Ostracize 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Fedalia 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Arriviste 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Big Ginger 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 G Prince of Silver 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Frat Party 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Manny 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Range of Motion 6.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Professor Tally 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Prince Martheus 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Give Me an Eye 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Conquer the Breeze 15.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Mazinaw Legend 20.00 7 13-1
12 12 Artiesattheparty 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Landry 20.00 7.3 14-1
13 13 Jordans Way 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 I Have Hope 30.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Peace Out Man 30.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tragically Quewick 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Ocelot 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Spite Store 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Lenny K 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Beyond Borders 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Perfect Crime 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Lumberjack 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Paperback Hero 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Arbeit 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Afleet Eddie 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Pink Gelato 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Passthepuddinpleaz 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Happy Hour Special 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Star Scholar 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Galvaston 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Expo 10.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Mr Narcissistic 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Black Hills Bronco 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Lucky Luke 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Kawacatoose 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Flame Zapper 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Muskoka Giant 8.00 3 6-1
8 7 Peace of Ekati 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 English Conqueror 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Solar 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Ranger Up 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Coastal Highway 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 4 Blockbuster 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 English Classic 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carl G 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Chasing Vinny 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Yola 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Pinky Dude 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Tall Water 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Canadian Secret 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Papa D 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Bet Alpha 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Zoomer Music 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 North Battleford 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bel Tempo 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Strate Remark 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Forester’s Destiny 3.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Street Legal 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Stormy Summer 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 R U Watchingbud 8.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Red Bo 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Greenfield 20.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 King and His Court 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Who’s Got It 30.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Conquest Eliminatr 30.00 9 17-1
2 2 I Idolize You 30.00 9 17-1
6 6 Heydon’s Case 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Grey S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stephen 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Easy Time 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Haddassah 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Helium 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 British Royalty 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Barrister Tom 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Gospel Way 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Lomaki’s Gem 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Lucky Score 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Mazarine S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Souper Sensational 1.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Il Malocchio 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Designer Ready 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Army Wife 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Batyah 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Do You Love Me 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Sleek Lynx (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Executive Search 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Priceless Will 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 There’s No Joe 6.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Red Fiction 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Mr. Cool 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Have a Souper Day 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Lead Director 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Detroit Steel (IRE) 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Bokermin 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Kid Forester 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Money Matters 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Speedy Moonlite 20.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Denmark 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Prinz of Violence 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Society Misfit 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Mayito 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Lakeside Park 12.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 My Ladies’ Man 10.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 Harmony Hall 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Countryside Drive 20.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Winsroy 20.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 A I Initiative 20.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Silent Empire 20.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Bread Crumbs 20.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Capture the Ride 20.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Northern Crusader 20.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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