November 22, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Save the Story | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Romance | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | It’s a Riddle | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Lady Griz | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misty At the Top | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stylish in Red | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magical Smile | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep It Classy | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Bonnie Lass | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Dolfina | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Life Is Good | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wipe the Slate | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scales of Justice | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Roman Centurian | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Santos to Wilson | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Democrat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Claro Que Si | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Florentine Diamond | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mariah Girl (ARG) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roses and Candy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brittle and Yoo | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acai | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Joy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dairy Kid | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Boonesboro Beauty | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Paige Runner | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shoe Game | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Free My Soul | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Happy Happy Happy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Born to Reign | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fruitfully | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hit It Twice | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peach Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Soothing | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Queen’s Code | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fat Stacks | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crankin | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Battling Gervinho | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zero Down | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master Ryan | 1.20 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Verry Bossy | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamic Duo | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Assistant | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bang for Your Buck | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Star Racer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Question Authority | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shimmer Me Timbers | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Well | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joe Don Looney | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crash Corrigan | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Detective Bernardo | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Endeavor | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Child Sbud | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Careless Kitten | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ekklesia | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Leaving You | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rip City | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tripoli | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Farmer | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wayne O | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Testify | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Defense Wins | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goalie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lolo Paniolo | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cary Grant S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Take the One O One | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Galilean | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Tigre Terrible | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rookie Mistake | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loud Mouth | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bettor Trip Nick | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oliver | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Appreciated | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Brickyard Ride | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Surfing Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Misty Cat | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quick and Dirty | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Basil Flavor | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itainteasybeingray | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chicks Dig Munny | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cutetip | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Hannah | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Redemption Code | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Derby Quest | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bingos System | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.