November 22, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Vermont Billy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
10 | 9 | Amistad | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 1 | Bold Gem | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Camouflaged Kisser | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Kith | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
9 | 8 | Makoto | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Loaded Joe | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Broadway Joe | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | My Boy Paddy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 2 | Mr. Tag | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | 15 | Shadow Caster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Reckless Spirit | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Wild Banker | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Elusive Ruler | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
11 | 11 | Shootin the Breeze | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Doubly Blessed | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Joy City | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
12 | 12 | Super Wicked Charm | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Bahamian Park | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
10 | 10 | Freedom and Whisky | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
8 | 8 | Pricing Exercise | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
1 | 1 | Appreciate | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
13 | 13 | Jimmy Jazz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | No Lime | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Knight Frost | 50.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
16 | 16 | Double Shot | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Funny Guy | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Bankit | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | My Boy Tate | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | T Loves a Fight | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Binkster | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Valletta | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ms Boombastic | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
13 | 13 | English Charmer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Sengekontacket | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
15 | 15 | Miss Moon Pie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Zerenia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Wicked Happy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Kitten’s Romance | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Malibu Anthem | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Karley O | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
11 | 11 | Cherokee Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Claddagh’s Run | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
12 | 12 | Jazzy Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Schatzi | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
9 | 9 | Starry Hope | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Flower’s Fortune | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
9 | 8 | Exfiltration | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Brattle House | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Duckphat | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Nebo | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Tangerine Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Stormi Cat Lady | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Captivating Cara | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Flirtacious Kiss | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Queen’s Mason | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Twelfth Labour | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
11 | 11 | Macho Jack | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Somebody | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Cause of Action | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Smile Bryan | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Sky of Hook | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Microscope | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
2 | 2 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
4 | 4 | Latin Love Bug | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Austrian | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
14 | 14 | Mr. Vincent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Matty’s Express | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
11 | 11 | Barleewon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Advanced Strategy | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sanctuary City | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Mr. Kringle | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
12 | 11 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
13 | 12 | The Golden Door | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sidd Finch | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Conforto | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
3 | 3 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
16 | 16 | Too Early | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | More Like It | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
15 | 15 | Cold Hard Cash | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Kichiro | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Desbordes | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Astoria Kitten | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
6 | 6 | Kilkea | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
11 | 11 | Courageous Girl | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Mike’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Timeless Journey | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Monificent | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Unicorn Sally | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Pandamom | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | Grudge | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Patrona | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Espresso Shot | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Sadie Lady | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Prairie Fire | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Officer Hutchy | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Bankers Daughter | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Fight On Lucy | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Steal My Heart | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | 11 | Memories Eternal | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
9 | 9 | Miss Sephora | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Twice a Lady | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
10 | 10 | My Lips Are Sealed | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
14 | 14 | La Reine Rouge | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Women Not Easy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Tornado Crossing | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
15 | 15 | Here Comes Meg | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Bonus Baby | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Eighty Seven North | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Mizzen the Mark | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tonilee | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Sander’s Empire | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
6 | 6 | Dustinthewind | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
16 | 16 | Belleza | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Mia Calia | 50.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.