Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 22, 2020

November 22, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Vermont Billy 2.50 1.6 3-1
10 9 Amistad 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Bold Gem 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Camouflaged Kisser 12.00 4 8-1
7 6 Kith 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Makoto 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Loaded Joe 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Broadway Joe 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 My Boy Paddy 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Mr. Tag 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Shadow Caster 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Reckless Spirit 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Wild Banker 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Elusive Ruler 3.50 4.3 8-1
11 11 Shootin the Breeze 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Doubly Blessed 4.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Joy City 15.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Super Wicked Charm 10.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Bahamian Park 20.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Freedom and Whisky 15.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Pricing Exercise 30.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Appreciate 30.00 9.4 18-1
13 13 Jimmy Jazz 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 No Lime 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Knight Frost 50.00 12.6 24-1
16 16 Double Shot 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Funny Guy 1.20 1.8 3-1
5 5 Bankit 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 My Boy Tate 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 T Loves a Fight 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Binkster 10.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Valletta 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ms Boombastic 4.50 3.9 7-1
13 13 English Charmer 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sengekontacket 2.50 4.3 8-1
15 15 Miss Moon Pie 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Zerenia 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wicked Happy 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Kitten’s Romance 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Malibu Anthem 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Karley O 15.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Cherokee Song 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Claddagh’s Run 12.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Jazzy Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Schatzi 30.00 11.9 22-1
9 9 Starry Hope 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Flower’s Fortune 4.00 1.3 2-1
9 8 Exfiltration 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Brattle House 1.60 2.1 4-1
3 3 Duckphat 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Nebo 15.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Tangerine Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Stormi Cat Lady 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Captivating Cara 30.00 5 9-1
2 2 Flirtacious Kiss 50.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Queen’s Mason 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Twelfth Labour 4.50 2.7 5-1
11 11 Macho Jack 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Somebody 6.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Cause of Action 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Smile Bryan 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Sky of Hook 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Microscope 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Dr. Devera’s Way 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Mr. Shortandsimple 20.00 7.1 14-1
4 4 Latin Love Bug 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Austrian 8.00 5 10-1
14 14 Mr. Vincent 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Matty’s Express 6.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Barleewon 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Advanced Strategy 5.00 6 11-1
1 1 Sanctuary City 3.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Mr. Kringle 8.00 6.4 12-1
12 11 Bad Guy 8.00 6.7 13-1
13 12 The Golden Door 8.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Sidd Finch 10.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Conforto 15.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Jo’s Bold Cat 15.00 7.9 15-1
16 16 Too Early 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 More Like It 12.00 8.5 16-1
15 15 Cold Hard Cash 0.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Kichiro 30.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Desbordes 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Astoria Kitten 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Kilkea 2.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Courageous Girl 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Mike’s Girl 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Timeless Journey 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Monificent 15.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Unicorn Sally 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Pandamom 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Grudge 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Patrona 50.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Espresso Shot 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Sadie Lady 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Prairie Fire 1.60 2.2 4-1
3 3 Officer Hutchy 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bankers Daughter 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Fight On Lucy 20.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Steal My Heart 50.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Memories Eternal 3.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Miss Sephora 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Twice a Lady 2.50 3.1 6-1
10 10 My Lips Are Sealed 6.00 3.2 6-1
14 14 La Reine Rouge 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Women Not Easy 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Tornado Crossing 10.00 5.5 10-1
15 15 Here Comes Meg 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bonus Baby 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Eighty Seven North 10.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Mizzen the Mark 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Tonilee 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Sander’s Empire 30.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Dustinthewind 30.00 9.3 18-1
16 16 Belleza 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mia Calia 50.00 12.7 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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