Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 21, 2020

November 21, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Taos (FR) 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Malibu Uproar 2.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Faraway Kitten 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Gigantic Breeze 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Avie’s Mesa 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Guitar George 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Wile E Peyote 12.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 The Sinner Is You 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crawl From the Bar 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 8 Call Me Wally 3.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 El Chairman 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Courtly Manner 12.00 7.3 14-1
11 9 Bel Bimbo 12.00 7.9 15-1
13 11 Silver Sheriff 20.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Victor’s Destiny 12.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Grom 20.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Dot’s Vision 15.00 8.8 17-1
12 10 Other Things Equal 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Pink Lemonade 20.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Abbaa 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Thor’s Thunder 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ontario Damsel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Curlin’s Voyage 1.40 1.9 4-1
2 2 Merveilleux 1.60 1.9 4-1
5 5 Avie’s Samurai 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Afleet Katherine 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Justleaveitalone 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Ann of Cleves 20.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 I Wonder 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Shedat 3.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Bayou Belle 4.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Capable 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 A Bridge too Far 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Cherubic 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Eleanor Powell 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Choose Hope 12.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 D’s Soul 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Under the Eye 15.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Real Chopper 20.00 9 17-1
9 9 Vinyasa 20.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Vana Grand 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Northern Diamond 3.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Quiet Ascot 3.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Lorena 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Gospel Hill 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Devine Dancing 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Fire Emoji 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 To Sing My Song 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Everyminitevryhour 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Hardroadtoglory 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Gold Forester 20.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Popthechampagne 20.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Treasure Quest 20.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Hit and Run 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 One More Drift 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Lucky Street 4.00 3.8 7-1
15 14 Double the Heart 3.50 4.5 8-1
10 10 Dyna’s Gamble 8.00 5.4 10-1
13 12 Big Time Louie 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Hesathriller 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Hardy Candy 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Majestic Melody 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Absolution 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 San Nicola Brew 15.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Kilkenny Prospect 20.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Lyrical Note 20.00 9.1 17-1
14 13 Legal Gump 20.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Itstartswithadrink 20.00 9.9 19-1
12 12 Cat’s Whisper 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Caira 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Betwixting 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 4 Ishiyaya 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 6 Take It Easy 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Gelato Amore 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 8 Systemic Risk 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 5 Big Mistake 12.00 8 15-1
12 9 Lady Kratos 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Double Medal 20.00 8.7 17-1
10 7 Ever So d’Wild 20.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Mrs. Del 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 The Good Witch 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Real Coal 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ontario Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Field Pass 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Belichick 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mighty Heart 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Lucky Curlin 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Malibu Mambo 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Mnemba Island 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Dune of Pilat (FR) 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Deviant 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Kennedy Road S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pink Lloyd 1.40 2.1 4-1
4 4 Silent Poet 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Ride a Comet 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Souper Stonehenge 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dixie’s Gamble 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Eskiminzin 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Roaring Forties 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Bessarabian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Souper Escape 3.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Painting 2.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Jakarta 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Amalfi Coast 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Artie’s Princess 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Boardroom 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Our Secret Agent 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Outburst (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kuduro 3.00 3.2 6-1
12 11 Animal Krackers 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Final Strike 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Creative Force 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Red Astaire 8.00 5.2 10-1
13 12 Sea Scout 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Lookin’ Fly 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Wheres My Halter 15.00 6.1 11-1
8 7 Big Time Gizmo 15.00 6.9 13-1
14 13 Danielle’s Song 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 10 Another Breeze 30.00 8.9 17-1
5 4 Fast Thinking 30.00 9.6 18-1
9 8 Romeos Law 30.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Candy’s Dream 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Audition 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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