November 21, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taos (FR) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Uproar | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faraway Kitten | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gigantic Breeze | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avie’s Mesa | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar George | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wile E Peyote | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Sinner Is You | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crawl From the Bar | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Call Me Wally | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | El Chairman | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courtly Manner | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bel Bimbo | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Silver Sheriff | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victor’s Destiny | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grom | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dot’s Vision | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Other Things Equal | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Lemonade | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abbaa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Thor’s Thunder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ontario Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Voyage | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Merveilleux | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Avie’s Samurai | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Katherine | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justleaveitalone | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ann of Cleves | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Wonder | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shedat | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bayou Belle | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Capable | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Bridge too Far | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cherubic | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eleanor Powell | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Choose Hope | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D’s Soul | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Under the Eye | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Chopper | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vinyasa | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vana Grand | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Northern Diamond | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Quiet Ascot | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lorena | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gospel Hill | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devine Dancing | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire Emoji | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | To Sing My Song | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Everyminitevryhour | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardroadtoglory | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Forester | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Popthechampagne | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Treasure Quest | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hit and Run | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | One More Drift | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Street | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Double the Heart | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dyna’s Gamble | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Big Time Louie | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hesathriller | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hardy Candy | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Melody | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolution | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | San Nicola Brew | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kilkenny Prospect | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lyrical Note | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Legal Gump | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itstartswithadrink | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cat’s Whisper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Caira | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Betwixting | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ishiyaya | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Take It Easy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gelato Amore | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Systemic Risk | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Big Mistake | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Lady Kratos | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Medal | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ever So d’Wild | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Del | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | The Good Witch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Real Coal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ontario Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Field Pass | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belichick | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Heart | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Curlin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Mambo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mnemba Island | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dune of Pilat (FR) | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deviant | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Kennedy Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pink Lloyd | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Poet | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ride a Comet | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Stonehenge | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie’s Gamble | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eskiminzin | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roaring Forties | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Bessarabian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Souper Escape | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Painting | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jakarta | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amalfi Coast | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artie’s Princess | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boardroom | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Secret Agent | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outburst (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Kuduro | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Animal Krackers | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Final Strike | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Creative Force | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Astaire | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Sea Scout | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin’ Fly | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wheres My Halter | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Time Gizmo | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Danielle’s Song | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Another Breeze | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fast Thinking | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Romeos Law | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy’s Dream | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Audition | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.