November 21, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moonachie | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Officer Country | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commanding General | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Daddy | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Decorated | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodluckjohnathan | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golazo | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Star of Shanghai | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mayfield of Dreams | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Cause | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storybook Farm | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Renagade Rush | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hello Gracie | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gary Doing Biz | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Joyful Jill | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quickstrike | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acadian Girl | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Awfully Foxy | 3.50 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Nor Per Ours | 30.00 | 19.6 | 37-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Make Us Smile | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sensationalist | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Persevered | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Call Me Later | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kukulkan | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whats the Chances | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neverfold | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | True Shipman | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Burgess | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pay the Kid | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fellow | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Just Go With It | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shackaboom | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breeze Off the Bay | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Lani | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Fireball | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liv and Let Liv | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor Your Mother | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dragon Lily | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Huntress | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Journeytothemoon | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Factor In | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Enter Sandwoman | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ephemeral | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marvella Nasty | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baba | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cookies and Cream | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lost Lake | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Expect the Sunrise | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shannon | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Sport | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Skyscanner | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stone Courageous | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Play Nine | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tattooed | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Passion Play | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big City Bob | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galerio | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Patriotic Punch | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Escape Fund | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Map of America | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excess Capacity | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Be Present | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fille d’Esprit | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amanite | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last Love | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mae Sai Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tapete Claire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Drawl | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Good Year | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nick Papagiorgio | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Universal Payday | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond the Victory | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rough Sea | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paradise Pride | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amen Corner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Successful Cure | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McElmore Avenue | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Walk Away Joe | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Galatians | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pitching Ari | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Jamminwithbrandon | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Bellarmine Hall | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Double Chubble | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.