Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 21, 2020

November 21, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Moonachie 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Officer Country 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Commanding General 12.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sugar Daddy 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Decorated 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Goodluckjohnathan 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Golazo 6.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Star of Shanghai 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mayfield of Dreams 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Great Cause 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Storybook Farm 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Renagade Rush 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Hello Gracie 6.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Gary Doing Biz 5.00 8.5 16-1
1A 1 Joyful Jill 3.50 8.8 17-1
3 3 Quickstrike 4.00 9 17-1
4 4 Acadian Girl 10.00 10 19-1
9A 9 Awfully Foxy 3.50 13.2 25-1
12 12 Nor Per Ours 30.00 19.6 37-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Make Us Smile 4.50 1.6 3-1
12 12 Sensationalist 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Persevered 15.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Call Me Later 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Kukulkan 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Whats the Chances 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Neverfold 30.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 True Shipman 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Burgess 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Pay the Kid 15.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Fellow 30.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Just Go With It 30.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shackaboom 15.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Breeze Off the Bay 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Fast Lani 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Double Fireball 15.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Liv and Let Liv 0.80 1.9 4-1
1 1 Honor Your Mother 10.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Dragon Lily 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Little Huntress 3.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Journeytothemoon 8.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Factor In 10.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Enter Sandwoman 12.00 1.6 3-1
11 11 Ephemeral 10.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Marvella Nasty 12.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Baba 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Cookies and Cream 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Lost Lake 12.00 2 4-1
12 12 Expect the Sunrise 20.00 2 4-1
9 9 Shannon 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Super Sport 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Skyscanner 10.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Stone Courageous 6.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Let’s Play Nine 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Tattooed 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Passion Play 12.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Big City Bob 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Galerio 2.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Patriotic Punch 4.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Escape Fund 6.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Map of America 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Excess Capacity 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Be Present 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Fille d’Esprit 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Amanite 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Last Love 20.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Mae Sai Princess 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tapete Claire 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dixie Drawl 5.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Pretty Good Year 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Nick Papagiorgio 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Universal Payday 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Beyond the Victory 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Rough Sea 5.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Paradise Pride 10.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Amen Corner 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Successful Cure 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 McElmore Avenue 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Walk Away Joe 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Galatians 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Pitching Ari 3.00 2 4-1
3A 3 Jamminwithbrandon 5.00 7.7 15-1
4A 4 Bellarmine Hall 5.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Double Chubble 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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