Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 21, 2020

November 21, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blackout (FR) 1.80 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mystery Messenger 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Mr. Lovejoy 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Hit the Seam 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Portando 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Annie’s Boy 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Native Diver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Midcourt 0.80 1.8 3-1
5 4 Extra Hope 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Royal Ship (BRZ) 4.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Combatant 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Stellar Sound 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Flying Business 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Trouville 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Zelaia 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Miss Fraulein 2.00 3 6-1
2 1 Canadian Ginger 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Happy Trails 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 No Cover Charge 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kershaw 1.80 1.9 4-1
5 5 Bold Endeavor 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Popular Kid 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Champagneonme 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 He’s the Reason 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Mongolian Legend 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Promise Nothing 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Endless Sunset 2.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Labor Union 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mac Daddy Too 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 El Joy 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Marconis 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 By Moonlight 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Ivory Sky 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Flash of Glory 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Exotic West 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Peachtree Road 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Rhythm and Grace 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Mamie Van D 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Leia Marie 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 A Real Hero 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Empire House 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cunning Munnings 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Hartel 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Combat Zone 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Caerulean 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Johnny Podres 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Kris’ Wild Kat 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Severin 30.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Eskimo Roses 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lil Richards Bello 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Square Root 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Chipper 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Brace for Impact 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Should Be Illegal 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Starship Chewbacca 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Scary Fast Smile 10.00 5 10-1
8 8 Flying Charlie 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Justin’s Quest 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Worthy Turk 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Acker 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 French Getaway 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Colosi 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Golden Doughnut 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Contagion 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Swamp Souffle 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Sky Confidential 30.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Push Through 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mithqaal 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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