November 21, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blackout (FR) | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystery Messenger | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Lovejoy | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Seam | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Portando | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annie’s Boy | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Native Diver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Midcourt | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Extra Hope | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Ship (BRZ) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Combatant | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stellar Sound | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Flying Business | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trouville | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zelaia | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Fraulein | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Canadian Ginger | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Happy Trails | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Cover Charge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kershaw | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Endeavor | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Popular Kid | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Champagneonme | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s the Reason | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Legend | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promise Nothing | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Endless Sunset | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Labor Union | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mac Daddy Too | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Joy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marconis | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | By Moonlight | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ivory Sky | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flash of Glory | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Exotic West | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peachtree Road | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rhythm and Grace | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mamie Van D | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leia Marie | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Real Hero | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire House | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cunning Munnings | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hartel | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Combat Zone | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Caerulean | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Johnny Podres | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kris’ Wild Kat | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Severin | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eskimo Roses | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lil Richards Bello | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Square Root | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chipper | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brace for Impact | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Should Be Illegal | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Chewbacca | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scary Fast Smile | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Charlie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Justin’s Quest | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Worthy Turk | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acker | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | French Getaway | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colosi | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Doughnut | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Contagion | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swamp Souffle | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Confidential | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Push Through | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mithqaal | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.