Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 21, 2020

November 21, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Beautiful Karen 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Snicket 1.20 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lucky Lizzie 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Munnings Muse 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Brooklyn Heights 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Calidad 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Vienna Code 30.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Full Moon Fever 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Straw Into Gold 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Vodka Lemonade 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Action Jackson 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 He’s a Lucky Devil 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Ruse 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Danzigwiththestars 8.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Boss Bear 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Scotty 15.00 6.1 12-1
12 11 Hangout 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Dreampoint 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Arrowheart 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Kanithappen 20.00 9.3 17-1
4 4 Mighty Meister 30.00 10.8 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vicar’s Legend 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Flash Drive 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Earned Success 3.50 2.9 5-1
9 8 Breeze Burner 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Ethan Hunt 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Summer Bourbon 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Tale of Mist 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Professor Snape 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Super Garner 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Hieroglyphics 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Conviction Trade 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Arthur Kitt (GB) 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Mr. Alec 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Winning Factor 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Blameless 30.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Value Engineering 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Road to Meath 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Money Ride 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Bernin’ Thru Gold 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 Advance Notice 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Siena Magic 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Big Boy Mo 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Unrelenting Force 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mister Bobby 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 The Great Dansky 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Coach Villa 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Freedomofthepress 2.00 1.6 3-1
13 13 Obligatory 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Dame of Malta 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 White Frost 8.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Lijana 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Fool Yourself 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Tic Tic Tic Boom 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Evvie Jets 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Coworth Park 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Actually 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Miss Bonnie T 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Bella Bettina 30.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Little Nutter 30.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bee Catcher 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Hard Count 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Traffic Pattern 1.80 4.4 8-1
5 5 Tiergan 8.00 4.5 9-1
13 13 Freedom and Whisky 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Silver Token 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Ninja Dust 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 K. K. Ichikawa 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Kid Chocolate 20.00 6.4 12-1
15 15 Shootin the Breeze 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Reckless Spirit 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Blizz 30.00 8.7 16-1
14 14 Super Wicked Charm 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Elusive Ruler 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Double Shot 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 River Knight 50.00 12.6 24-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Saratoga Pal 1.60 2.6 5-1
6 6 Notorious Flirt 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Riken 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Jemography 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Wow Brown 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 The Revenger 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bustin Timberlake 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Beachside 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Roll With My Posse 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Red Smith S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ziyad (GB) 4.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Aquaphobia 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Red Knight 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sadler’s Joy 1.60 3.9 7-1
3 3 Postulation 15.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Doctor Mounty 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 North Dakota 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Tintoretto (GER) 50.00 8 15-1
1 1 Real Factor 50.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Fame to Famous 50.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Changi 50.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Travelin Dani 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Michael’s Bad Boy 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Bielefeld 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Empire Express 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Yousaidhello 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bricco 2.50 5 10-1
9 9 Selfmade 8.00 5.2 10-1
13 13 Noble Mischief 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Liquor 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Spiritual King 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Open Lengths 10.00 6.6 12-1
15 15 Top of the Mint 1.80 SCRATCH
5A 5 Justintimeforwine 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Daithi 20.00 9.1 17-1
16A 16 Theitalianamerican 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 True Palace 30.00 13.8 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Wednesday Parx Racing
Begins Wed, Dec 2 12:25 PM ET
Wednesday Gulfstream Park
Begins Wed, Dec 2 12:35 PM ET
Wednesday Delta Downs
Begins Wed, Dec 2 1:55 PM ET
Wednesday Remington Park
Begins Wed, Dec 2 8:07 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
FC Porto 0
Manchester City 0
Details
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Atlético Madrid 1
Bayern Munich 1
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Forest Green 1
Newport County 1
Details
Europe - Champions League
Full Time
Liverpool 1
Ajax 0
Details
NCAA Football
Final
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Charlotte 49ers
Details
England - Championship
Full Time
Bournemouth 2
Preston 3
Details
England - Championship
Full Time
QPR 1
Bristol City 2
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Colchester 1
Crawley Town 1
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Bradford 1
Cheltenham 2
Details
England - League Two
Full Time
Grimsby 1
Exeter 4
Details
Go to Scoreboard