November 20, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Littlebitamedal | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Belong to Becky | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Short of Ez | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proof It | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J T’s A. T. M. | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chaos Theory | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overdue | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Wedge | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tilted Towers | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mikes Tiznow | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Vargas | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King of Speed | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Potantico | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Stiff | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zestful | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbroken Star | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cover Version | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bristol Bayou | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unbreakable | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Let’s Go Now | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Sky | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Give Up | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She Loves Karaoke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vodka Twist | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little No Way | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In the Deep | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Cha Cha | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cedar Rapids | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Sky Logan | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Write Me a Song | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil’s Teeth | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First Prez | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rustic Canyon | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tropical Terror | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fly to Mars | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sea of Liberty | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handsome Cat | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clayton Delaney | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mysterious Stones | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chevelita | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Martique Miss | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yellow Dress | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Cut | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Blend | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mama Superior | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Varoma | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hatshepsut | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Mo | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Purda Vita | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Theluteismine | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That Corey | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gabby Hayes | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crossword | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bukayo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gordy’s Boy | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Metal | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pedro Perez | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Wywy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lauren Squared | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Standing O | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Man Bags | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.