November 19, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Irish Charmer | 5.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sorellina | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saigon | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Back Roads | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paynterbynumbers | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance for the Gold | 1.60 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dazzle Me | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bring Me Answers | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ridgemont High | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yesterdaysplan | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Love You | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Star | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sidereal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lion’s Court | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Theduke of Hazzard | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hazels Little Man | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Logic | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frankee Merch | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Passage of Lines | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Communication Fail | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warm Sunny Breeze | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Battle of the Nile | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pirate’s Palace | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helms Deep | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doublbarrelbourbon | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Manklin Creek | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notorious Rey | 50.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zoinks Scooby | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | End All Get All | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jack Gave Back | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strictly Business | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Absolved | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Padrino’s Heart | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Abuelo Paps | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | In the Loop | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inside Risk | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Karan’s Notion | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bear Treasure | 50.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Annamated Moon | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Third Secret | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonder In | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shackled | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Moose Lodge | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trip to Freedom | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unrequited Love | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kewpie Doll | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moochie | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lazarette | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey and Rye | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liv and Let Liv | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beautiful Grace | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Oil On Canvas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zen Pi | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | McQueen’s Bullitt | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | New Frontier | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Come and Get Me | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of Carats | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miracle Bobbie | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hair of the Dog | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chauffeur | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baltimore Bud | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Pere | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carson and I | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Start the Parade | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hold Me Black | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stroll Smokin | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Arion | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nomo Ron | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bull Shark | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Fought | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Cairo Kid | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buddy’s Run | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | In the Top Ten | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Iron Pearls | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | U S Constitution | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What Does It Take | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reassured | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Dinner Jacket | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Laying Up | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steady Eddie | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.