Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 19, 2020

November 19, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Irish Charmer 5.00 0.7 1-1
2 2 Sorellina 15.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Saigon 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Back Roads 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Paynterbynumbers 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Dance for the Gold 1.60 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dazzle Me 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Bring Me Answers 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ridgemont High 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Yesterdaysplan 2.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 I Love You 3.50 6.7 13-1
4 4 Our Star 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sidereal 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lion’s Court 10.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Theduke of Hazzard 8.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Hazels Little Man 6.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Boss Logic 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Frankee Merch 20.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Passage of Lines 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Communication Fail 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Warm Sunny Breeze 2.50 2.4 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Battle of the Nile 4.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Pirate’s Palace 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Helms Deep 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Doublbarrelbourbon 3.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Manklin Creek 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Notorious Rey 50.00 2 4-1
1 1 Zoinks Scooby 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 End All Get All 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Jack Gave Back 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Strictly Business 10.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Absolved 6.00 1.4 3-1
12 12 Padrino’s Heart 15.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Abuelo Paps 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 In the Loop 5.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Inside Risk 15.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Karan’s Notion 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Bear Treasure 50.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Annamated Moon 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 The Third Secret 20.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Wonder In 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Shackled 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Moose Lodge 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Trip to Freedom 1.60 1.2 2-1
5 5 Unrequited Love 12.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Kewpie Doll 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Moochie 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Lazarette 20.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Whiskey and Rye 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Liv and Let Liv 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Beautiful Grace 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Oil On Canvas 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zen Pi 6.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 McQueen’s Bullitt 8.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 New Frontier 1.60 1.5 3-1
2 2 Come and Get Me 12.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Dreaming of Carats 4.50 2 4-1
12 12 Miracle Bobbie 15.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Hair of the Dog 30.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Chauffeur 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Baltimore Bud 20.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Prince Pere 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Carson and I 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Start the Parade 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hold Me Black 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Stroll Smokin 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Blessed Arion 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Nomo Ron 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Bull Shark 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Hard Fought 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 The Cairo Kid 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Buddy’s Run 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 In the Top Ten 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Iron Pearls 8.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 U S Constitution 4.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 What Does It Take 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Reassured 1.60 1.7 3-1
7 7 Full Dinner Jacket 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 No Laying Up 15.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Steady Eddie 30.00 1.8 3-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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