November 19, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Economic Policy | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnetron | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Local Counsel | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bozzini | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mandatory Payout | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King of Ranch | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Blue Giant | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Divided Sky (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buyer’s Remorse | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tea in China | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Celestial Dream | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss and Run | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carefree Highway | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rapido Gatta | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canarsie Girl | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roma Carpe | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Idaka | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bastet | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mirabell Mei | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mopolka | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strike Magic | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Red Frog | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sterling Beauty | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stuy Town Baby | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tradeable | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cold Hearted Cat | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Minit Maus | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Al’s Gal | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Data Analytics | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Giggle Factory | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Magical Romance | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Alley to Calvary | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Appreciate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mani Pedi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jennemily | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashndynamite | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Glimmering | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Circle of Love | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Persisto | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ujjayi | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slimey | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Polpis | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tanners Neck Lane | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Noble Journey | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Western Advantage | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perpetual Change | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Humpday | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dustgetsinyoureyes | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Weeks Long | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Little Risk | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold the Irish | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Arrowheart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Vodka Lemonade | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ruse | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Danzigwiththestars | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mighty Meister | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bohemian Ruby | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Melissa | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Home for Christmas | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mendham | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | B C Belle | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mon Cherie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eau Claire | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pop the Bubbly | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cara’s Dreamer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boomkittybyebye | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gallina | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saluki | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nebo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Theatrical Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Adriatic Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Quiet Type | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Masu | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tiz He the One | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Technique | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Velocity | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Americanus | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Commissioner | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Famished | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chilly in Charge | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forever Mo | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kitten by the Sea | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She Throws Heat | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Candy Flower | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashing Red | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Princess Fawzia | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Come Storming | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Overheated | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Micromillion | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Candy Girl | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | More Mango | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Kitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fun Finder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Invaluable | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Customerexperience | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Positive Power | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imprsstheprofessor | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ahead of Plan | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duress | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shiraz | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lynchburg | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Currency | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Opportunity (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Godlovesasinner | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noble Emotion | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nothing Better | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Il Primo Sole (GB) | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fair Catch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Yes and Yes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dangerous Edge | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Force | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Principal Dancer | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beach Front | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Number One Dillon | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Boy | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charge Ahead | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blues City | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Larceny | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No More Miracles | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I Saw It All | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Gala | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Rightdowngentlemen | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our American Star | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.