Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 18, 2020

November 18, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Trust Fund Girl 3.00 3.2 6-1
11 8 Squealer 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Bonnies Dream 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 6 Jenna the Boss 4.50 4.7 9-1
13 9 Barn Queen 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 5 Third Time Success 8.00 7 13-1
10 7 Creative Love 4.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Cape Cod Sally 15.00 8.4 16-1
14 10 Pamalwaysgetseven 20.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Nickys Notion 20.00 9.9 19-1
3 3 Oath of Solitude 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Writtenbythestars 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 A Bit Bad N Boujee 3.50 SCRATCH
12 10 Intervention 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Highwaytwentyseven 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Won the Case 6.00 4 8-1
9 8 Castle Casanova 3.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Majestic Jazz 4.50 5 9-1
7 6 Frank’s Legacy 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Here Wego 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Hollywood Overdogs 20.00 6.1 12-1
11 10 The Minit I See U 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Delinquent 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 4 Flat Rate 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Beacos Disco Pants 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Late Breaking News 2.00 1.2 2-1
1A 1 True Boldness 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Artistic Drifter 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 D T Goodie 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Dennis’ Diamond 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Graves Island 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Drosselmagic 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Owin I Am 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 American Talent 8.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 March Screamer 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Sargeant Drive 2.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 It’s Pazible 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Too Much Johnnie 3.50 5 9-1
12 12 King’s Castle 12.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Beau Trace 8.00 5.5 10-1
8A 8 Gran Causeway 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Tu Exageres 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Overbold 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Big Bad Bud 15.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Bill’s Mafia 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 El Dulzura 20.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 Chuckles 10.00 SCRATCH
14A 14 Quality Special 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Leader of the Band 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 2 Confirmed Genius 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 4 Blissful Behavior 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 6 Chelsea Wall 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 5 Elf’s Tune 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 1 H M Hollywood 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Tipsy Chatter 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Thegoddessofsnakes 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sail Above 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Gypsy Sally 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Mrs. Phelps 3.00 2.9 6-1
8A 8 Lady Mistress 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Li’lbito’charm 5.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Missing Hoover 3.50 6.3 12-1
9 9 Ez On the Eyes 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Jaffle 4.50 6.6 12-1
11 11 Rockford Girl 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Best Secrets Kept 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Light of Hope 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Risque’s Treasure 20.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 High Math 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Valid Treasure 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tarallucci 15.00 SCRATCH
16A 16 I’am a Unicorn 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Driver’s License 20.00 10.3 19-1
7 7 Pablo’s Dream 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Always a Queen 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Queen of Tomorrow 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sugar Streak 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Evil Woman 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Dilly Dilly Philly 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Freedom Passage 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Justin Time 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Light Up Night 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Mabel Island 8.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Holiday Bonus 3.00 2.1 4-1
6A 6 Machtree 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 In Equality 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 The Robert 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Bob’s My Uncle 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Asphalt Paving 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Flat Bill 20.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Colonist 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Kingsville 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Nobiz Like Jetbiz 20.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Even Thunder 3.50 SCRATCH
12A 12 King Koa 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Smooth B 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Share the Ride 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 4 Whistling Birds 10.00 3.7 7-1
9 7 Admiral Abe 6.00 3.8 7-1
2A 2 Midtowncharlybrown 6.00 4 8-1
8 6 Infuriated 10.00 4 8-1
1A 1 Midnightcharly 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Dr Blarney 3.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Pnutbutter Special 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Beautiful Success 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Sally O’Prado 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Chevy to the Levy 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 To the Flag 4.50 4.3 8-1
11A 11 Superling 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Bon Heir 4.00 5 10-1
1 1 Risque Express 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Trappe Me Later 15.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Descarado 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Enchantabull 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Volodina 3.00 SCRATCH
16A 16 Iron Lilly 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Enigmatica 20.00 10.1 19-1
10 10 If You Only Knew 20.00 10.6 20-1
3 3 Pansy 20.00 10.6 20-1
9 9 Congressionalstorm 20.00 12.1 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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