Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, November 17, 2020

November 17, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dizzy Sight 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Heart of a Dreamer 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Yondering 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Surfer Boy George 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Muntahez 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Earthquake 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Sincere Man 6.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Tiz a Kitten 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Littlebitalily 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Beatubyachubinose 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Memorize 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 What About Tonight 4.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Barley Jack 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bow Town Cat 2.50 5 9-1
8 7 She’smyrisenstar 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Midnight Sky 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 My Man Elvis 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Town Jak 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Vero Sun 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Grand Oasis 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Shoreline 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Louie’s Wish 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dramatized 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Bebeau 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 American River (VEN) 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Psychic Energy 1.80 3.1 6-1
12 10 Pegasus Red 4.50 3.7 7-1
11 9 Early Entry 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Saucy Don 4.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Smart Rags 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 Chief Exchanger 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 2 Forest River 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 7 Lunar Rover 20.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Ninetyeightoctane 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 6 Blinding 20.00 8.7 17-1
5 3 Very Colorful 20.00 9.7 18-1
2X 11 Down With the King 20.00 9.7 18-1
2 8 Jacks a Warrior 20.00 10 19-1
1A 12 Saratoga Wildcat 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Passport Required 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wood Bee 3.00 1.3 3-1
9 8 Bella G 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Four Seasons Girl 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Quiet Please 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Seahawk Lisa 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Above Par 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 New Jersey 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Smokin Princess 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 7 Our Curlene 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sheknowsthedrill 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Padrinoneverquits 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Team Win 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Your Pal 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Shero 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Wings of Fury 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Paolla’s Heart 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Zensational Dixie 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Goddess of Cash 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Lucky Milady 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Sweet Lilly Factum 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 La Waun 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 They Shot Sonny 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pharaoh’s City 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Loan Me Your Ear 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Will’s Pioneer 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fran’s Worrier 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Followhisfootsteps 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Metaphorical 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tactical Plan 3.00 2.9 5-1
11 10 Woodbury 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 American Roma 4.50 3.6 7-1
13 13 Noble Kent 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Salsa’s Return 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Across the Aisle 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Algorix 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Storm Tales 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Mantle 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Out of Line 15.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Worth His Salt 12.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Banker’s Island 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 High Flying Guy 20.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Howboutdempats 20.00 10.3 20-1
12 11 Rings of Jupiter 15.00 10.9 21-1
2 2 Diamond Square 20.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Shanghai Superfly 2.50 2 4-1
1A 8 I’m Busy 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Ark in the Dark 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Powerfully Built 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 1 Septimius Severus 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Star Sign 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Black Light 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Perfect Daydream 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Mooji Moo Jr. 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Two Carat 3.00 1.5 3-1
14 14 Iron Lilly 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Creedibility 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lady Munnings 5.00 4 8-1
9 9 Easy Banker 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 La Flamenca 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Sold On Salsa 6.00 SCRATCH
1 4 Reigning Fire 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Yours Completely 4.50 6.5 12-1
13 12 Lady Valentina 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Woman Flyer 20.00 8.2 15-1
11 10 Baaqeya 15.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Skookie 20.00 9.4 18-1
3 2 Deep Canyon 20.00 10.5 20-1
12 11 Not in the Mood 20.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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